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Democratic Primaries
Related: About this forumScrapped Iowa Poll Reportedly Showed Biden Cratering to Fourth Place
Mediaite
By Reed Richardson Feb 3rd, 2020, 8:07 pm
The last Iowa poll before the caucuses, which was not publicly released after its results were compromised, found that Bernie Sanders was holding steady in the lead and that Joe Biden had fallen to a distant fourth place.
According to confirmation by FiveThirtyEight, the poll was going to report Sanders with 22% support in Iowa, Elizabeth Warren in second with 18%, Pete Buttigieg with 16%, and Biden trailing behind at 13%. That result wouldve pegged Bidens support at more than six percentage points below his current level in the RealClearPolitics polling average.
However, the gold-standard Selzer & Co. Iowa poll was abruptly scrapped on Sunday night after one surveyor reportedly changed the font on their screen and inadvertently left off Pete Buttigiegs name from the list of candidate choices. Since the pollster was unable to assess the impact of Buttigiegs partial omission, the poll was considered statistically unreliable.
snip
By Reed Richardson Feb 3rd, 2020, 8:07 pm
The last Iowa poll before the caucuses, which was not publicly released after its results were compromised, found that Bernie Sanders was holding steady in the lead and that Joe Biden had fallen to a distant fourth place.
According to confirmation by FiveThirtyEight, the poll was going to report Sanders with 22% support in Iowa, Elizabeth Warren in second with 18%, Pete Buttigieg with 16%, and Biden trailing behind at 13%. That result wouldve pegged Bidens support at more than six percentage points below his current level in the RealClearPolitics polling average.
However, the gold-standard Selzer & Co. Iowa poll was abruptly scrapped on Sunday night after one surveyor reportedly changed the font on their screen and inadvertently left off Pete Buttigiegs name from the list of candidate choices. Since the pollster was unable to assess the impact of Buttigiegs partial omission, the poll was considered statistically unreliable.
snip
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primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
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Scrapped Iowa Poll Reportedly Showed Biden Cratering to Fourth Place (Original Post)
JoeOtterbein
Feb 2020
OP
George II
(67,782 posts)1. Here we go. Fact is, it didn't show ANYTHING, it wasn't released. "Rigged"?
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
JoeOtterbein
(7,866 posts)2. Just a heads up for everyone to get used...
...to the flip side of polls!
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
evertonfc
(1,713 posts)3. it's Iowa.
who cares.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Amishman
(5,917 posts)4. We're doing the actual event right now, poll time is over
Have a beverage and relax.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden