So, where does Elizabeth Warren break out?

[brooklynite]

She doesn’t appear to be viable anywhere until Super Tuesday.

[still_one]

1. She will be competing with Biden for second place in N.H. if Biden doesn't get

second place in N.H. it will be difficult for him, though he will definitely be in through Super Tuesday regardless

[FloridaBlues]

4. If she doesn't win 1st in NH her neighborhing state will look bad for Warren.

[denem]

5. 2nd in NH is good enough.

If Sanders is 1st, his win will be overshadowed by how far he has fallen from 2016. He needed a win in IA to change the narrative but did not get it.

[rurallib]

2. viable?

not sure what your definition is, but viable to me means she is in the race.
From what I have heard she will be in the upper echelon;ons on all the coming states.

If she is going to have a breakout day, Super Tuesday seems like a good time.

Let's see, what is the schedule? NH, SC, NV, Super Tuesday? You are only talking 2 weeks.

[brooklynite]

3. Viable means getting 15%: the minimum for delegates.

[rurallib]

7. so she didn't get that in Iowa? I thought she was in the 18% range

in the partial results. Did I miss something?

[Recursion]

10. She has four delegates as of now

Possibly will get some more if Klobuchar doesn't cross the line

[judeling]

6. Warren Doesn't need a Breakout

She just needs Steady progress.

[Recursion]

8. She answered policy questions honestly. That's political suicide

Her ratings started to collapse once she started talking honestly about how she would pay for some of her programs. I don't think she's coming back, unfortunately.

[LongtimeAZDem]

9. Yep; you cannot do that. I learned that watching John Anderson in 1980

[Tom Rinaldo]

11. And if that remains true she won't be viable anywhere on Super Tuesday either

That doesn't mean that she can't win any delegates on Super Tuesday. Likely she would, but she would only be falling further behind those who continue to win the Lion's share of delegates. That trend line doesn't work. Just crossing the viability line in a primary and winning a handful of delegates by doing so doesn't win the nomination. More to the point, it doesn't inspire fund raising. Warren doesn't have as strong a fundraising operation as Sanders does, so if she continues to draw less votes than him I can't see a way for her "to emerge".

For Warren to have any chance she needs to 1) finish above Biden again in NH. and 2) finish above Sanders in NH. Alternately she could finish very close behind Sanders in NH but then do significantly better than Sanders in SC to remain potentially viable as the "progressive candidate" moving forward. But right now she trails in SC also.