Super Tuesday could give us our nominee

[ripcord]

When California moved it's primary to super Tuesday they really added to the super part. California is going to distribute 495 delegates the overwhelming majority of them going to democrats. I'm not saying any candidate will have the nomination in fact but a candidate could come out of super Tuesday with an insurmountable lead. In less than a month it is possible we could know who our candidate will be.

[MineralMan]

1. Quite a few states have primaries on Super Tuesday.

It should be a very interesting March 4, I think.

[Peacetrain]

2. My guess is we will know who has the mojo to go forward post super tuesday.

But we have to court these midwest states and not just the coasts.. because apparently land has a vote so to speak. You could call the General Election just an outsized caucus .. if we were just popular vote, we would be trying to re-elect President Clinton.. but that is not our reality

[Liberty Belle]

3. Biden snubbed CA Dems by not coming to the convention, and

It's not the first time. The last time Biden ran for president he also skipped CA's convention; the other 7 contenders showed up.

If he loses here he has himself to blame for not making his case to the delegates.

Sanders and Warren by contrast have given barnburner speeches up and down the state. Sanders has been to our city multiple times during his two campaigns.

I'm not sure if the others have been year yet; they certainly haven't here in San Diego.

With 495 delegates, CA can and likely will be a kingmaker, so I don't understand the lack of foresight in candidates who have ignored CA. I would have liked to hear from more of them, and think it's a shame that a tiny, non-diverse state like Iowa gets such a disproportionate share of candidates' attention as well as media focus.

[R B Garr]

6. That organization is Bernie fans, not California Democrats.

They are heavy on the phony drama, so it’s a good decision to skip it.

[Scurrilous]

7. Biden only 4 behind in California.

NY has 320. Biden +13. Bernie tied for 2nd. Texas 261. Biden + 8.4. Florida 248. Biden +18.7. Those 3 almost lap Cali.

From 538 last night.

[Liberty Belle]

8. Interesting. This may be due to open primaries. I know non-Dems asking for Dem ballots

because they want to sway the primary choices here, since it's a given Trump is their nominee.

I've had more than one conservative-leaning but unaffiliated with any party friend tell me they did that. One even asked me where they could get information on all the Dem candidates stances so they could choose one of the more moderate ones.

I don't really understand why Dems allow non-Dems to vote in their primary. Shouldn't only Democrats choose?

Republicans do NOT allow anyone other than Reps to vote in their primary.

[Scurrilous]

10. It's insane and I don't get why people can't choose a party. NPP? No party is a party?

I think hippies were involved in this some how. You know...like a voting commune or something...everyone welcome...no labels...bring the dog. Maybe it's because by the time they vote it is usually over. So why be serious. But it is aggravating and it is just a matter of time before it leads to disaster.

The GOP is like the strict parent. Their votes go to college.

[Demsrule86]

12. operation chaos...

[Scurrilous]

13. Seriously WTF

My brother moved out there in '85 and never calls anymore.

[OneMoreCupOfCoffee]

9. The convention has been overtaken by people who do not represent California Democrats.

Evidenced by their backing of Kevin De Leon over Dianne Feinstein.

[unc70]

4. It has every year since 1988

Gary Hart in 1984 was last exception

[Scurrilous]

5. 1990 is the target.

From last night.

Numbers 3 and 4, Biden up in Nevada average and latest. Biden way the fuck up in S, Carolina average and latest.

Through March 10 Biden is currently up in 12 states, Bernie in 5, and Warren in 2. And Bernie is 5th in 2, 4th in 1, and 3rd in 2.

.
Super Tuesdays -

Alabama primary - Biden +21
American Samoa caucuses - n/a
Arkansas primary - n/a
California primary - Sanders +3.9
Colorado primary - Sanders +1
Maine primary - Biden +2.3
Massachusetts primary - Warren .2 over Biden Bernie 3rd
Minnesota primary - Warren +10 over Klobuchar Bernie 4th
North Carolina primary - Biden +12.7
Oklahoma primary - Biden +15 Bernie 5th
Tennessee primary - Biden +15 Bernie 3rd
Texas primary - Biden +8.4
Utah primary - Bernie +12
Vermont primary -n/a
Virginia primary - Biden +12


March 10 -

Idaho primary - n/a
Michigan primary - Biden +4.8
Mississippi primary - Biden +26
Missouri primary - Biden +25 Bernie 5th
North Dakota firehouse caucuses (party-run primary) - n/a
Washington primary - Bernie +5

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-primary-d/washington/

[marlakay]

11. I think Texas votes that day too

My daughter and hubby who live there between Biden, Pete and Bloomberg.