@FiveThirtyEight Forecast on primary states ____ has the best chance of winning:

[melman]

Link to tweet

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-primary-forecast/

[krissey]

1. I predict that will be revised real soon. Support of everyone is soft and lots of fluidity.

[George II]

2. Not true, but....

For one thing, they don't even have any forecasts for Alaska, Arkansas, District of Columbia, Hawaii, Idaho, and many more states that you "claim" Sanders will win.

Maybe you should check their website instead of relying on a third-party?

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-primary-d/

[Nanjeanne]

3. I'd like to think that's true but as someone from CT I think Biden if he stays in it will do better

than Bernie. Even Even Bloomberg and Pete if the Fairfield County people vote in larger numbers than New Haven County. District-wise - the support will definitely change. Trump did surprisingly well in many parts of CT over Hillary. I was amazed at how many districts went for him but the #s in other areas kept CT in the blue. But overall - I would see Biden taking CT. It's just we don't vote until the end of April so it's hard to say who will still be in it.

[lunasun]

4. I would think Biden for here in Illinois I am surprised at the number of delegates predicted for BS

in this poll for IL
Of course our IL elections are a long way off and after super tues

[William769]

5. Trust 538 at your own peril.