Sanders Overtakes Biden In National Poll

[applegrove]

Sanders Overtakes Biden In National Poll

February 10, 2020 at 2:07 pm EST By Taegan Goddard 234 Comments

https://politicalwire.com/2020/02/10/sanders-grabs-lead-in-national-democratic-race/

"SNIP.....

A new Quinnipiac poll shows Bernie Sanders leading the Democratic presidential race nationally with 25%, followed by Joe Biden at 17%, Michael Bloomberg at 15%, Elizabeth Warren at 14%, Pete Buttigieg at 10% and Amy Klobuchar st 4%.

Said pollster Tim Malloy: “Is the Bloomberg camp prepping the white horse for him to ride to the rescue? Maybe not yet, but without setting foot in Iowa or New Hampshire, he is suddenly a looming shadow over the primary field.”


......SNIP"

[Iliyah]

1. I'm reading that Bloomberg is gaining traction . .

Having commercials in almost every state works.

[madville]

2. Disappointing but Bloomberg will have to be my backup

I'm feeling that Bloomberg will surpass Joe after NH and be even with Sanders by Super Tuesday

[Happyhippychick]

3. Bloomberg at 15%?

Holy cow

[Dem2]

4. Looks like Bloomberg is taking it then?

Assuming Bernie's supporters are extremely enthusiastic, he's closer to his ceiling IMO. Add most of Liz and you get maybe 35-40%?

The rest will coalesce under a more moderate candidate who they believe can beat Pendejo Naranja. Joe+Michael+Pete+Amy = 46%

[Laelth]

5. Interesting. Thanks for posting. n/t

-Laelth

[applegrove]

7. .

[Laelth]

9. Cheers. Nice to see that you are still fighting the good fight. n/t

-Laelth

[LeftTurn3623]

6. Biden - Pete - Amy

all going to need to withdraw and hope Bloomberg can beat Bernie - if you are believing Bernie cant win against Trump

[Mike 03]

8. Wow, things sure have changed dramatically in just one week.

Thank you for the post.

[Scurrilous]

10. Meanwhile at 538 they have taken a knife to Biden's numbers.

Last edited Tue Feb 11, 2020, 08:00 AM - Edit history (1)

The fine print -

'State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls.'


He did that this morning, every State with an average and National average. Where you see the obvious dip for Biden, he did that himself. I keep track of the numbers and this morning everyone was hit. It's easy to see on the graph.The national trend? Iowa. He's in love with Iowa. Uses it for his prediction model too. So fuck 538. IMHO he's trying to drive a narrative.

He drank the small and white Kool Aid.

He even took Biden out of the lead in the next state, Nevada. Last latest Biden +4.2%. Now Bernie +4.2.% Hilarious.

Link to tweet

Link to tweet

[uponit7771]

11. 538 is making it up as they go along

[Scurrilous]

12. Yes they are.

I can't find the article on his site, but I read it a day ago, about his prediction model (WHY!) and he literally made it up. 'Iowa is more than jut 44 delegates blah blah.' "So I weight it in my prediction model.' Get this, Iowa's importance was magnified greatly by the presence of media. LOL It's worst kind of elitism. I think he's angling for a slot on MSNBCCNN.

[uponit7771]

13. +1, and Sanders is a neighbor candidate in NH so why they haven't discounted its importance

... by no is gob smacking.

NH is not even winner take all...

Silver is sucking his own body parts at this point

[Scurrilous]

14. He's spreading himself thin. He's got too many plates in the air. Can't wait for them to crash.

He blew 2016, I think he's trying too hard to make it up.

Yeah, Bernie is almost home field. But no pooh-poohing if he wins. It'll be below x 10.

When Bernie fake won I saw him on TV and then checked google news. This came up w/in 10 minutes. Hilarious considering he won 20+ times in 2016.


NBC:'Oh my God, Sanders can win': Democrats grapple with Bernie surge in Iowa'

I grappled w/ laughter. Because grappling with Bernie surge sounds icky.