In 2016, Sanders got 60% of the New Hampshire vote. How much less will he get now?

[brooklynite]

I'm guessing 60% less.

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	17% less (50%)
	1 (17%)
	33% less (40%)
	0 (0%)
	50% less (30%)
	3 (50%)
	59% less (25%)
	1 (17%)
	66% less (20%)
	1 (17%)
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[Zolorp]

1. I'm hoping Mayor Pete wins two in a row.

[highplainsdem]

2. I'd definitely rather have him win NH than Sanders.

[denem]

6. Good thing Biden ran such a hard attack against Pete, isn't it?

[k2qb3]

3. In a five-way race that would equate to about 24%

I suspect he'll do better than that.

[Nanjeanne]

4. Yup. Good call.

[snowybirdie]

5. Apples and oranges

There were only two candidates in NH in 2016. A lot more running now.

[Voltaire2]

7. It's a 5 way contest.

But you knew that.

[brooklynite]

8. So you're saying people won't vote for Bernie if they have a good alternative...

I think we're in agreement.

[LanternWaste]

9. Odd, highly-extrapolated inference

More and more often, it appears the allegation "so you're saying..." is a simple attempt to fit a round peg into a square hole.

But I get it... we hear what we want to.

[brooklynite]

10. If you've got an alternative perspective, please share it...

Having a large field is an explanation but not an excuse. Bernie's influence this time was driven by the fact that he nearly won the nomination last time. For him to win, he's going to have to substantially increase his support, or he's going to end up with a bare plurality, which will make unifying the Party incredibly hard.

[Voltaire2]

11. I don't wish to refight the 2016 primary

but there is another interpretation of the data you should consider.

[thesquanderer]

12. Sanders will lose less of his 2016 left-wing-outsider contingent...

...compared to how much Biden will lose compared to Hillary of the moderate-wing-establishment contingent. Hillary and Joe were both frontrunners going in, and represented the same wing of the party... Joe lost much more of that base than Bernie lost of his.