The significance of Bernie's wins is proportional to how much people try to downplay them.

[DanTex]

Exhibit A was Bernie's Iowa win. When IA polls started looking good for Bernie, the usual centrist pundits started saying the IA didn't matter. After he won, they tried to say that popular vote didn't matter. And made absurd arguments like comparing the 2-person results from 2016 to the 5/6-person race this year (hilariously, MSNBC interviewed a woman that was so put off by MSNBC pundits making this argument that she switched to Bernie).

And what happened? After Bernie won Iowa, he took the lead in national polls, is now the favorite according to 538 projections, and betting markets have him with the best odds. Chris Matthews freaked out so much he had some kind of live TV acid trip where he thought he was being executed in Central Park.

After the NH win, the race is quickly coming down to Bloomberg vs Bernie. And that's going to be a tough contest. Part of the outcome will depend on how quickly the other centrist candidates decide to drop out to make room for Bloomberg. The sooner they do, the more favorable to Bloomberg. I can imagine him offering VP to Pete or Amy to get them to drop out and endorse him.

But as of right now, Bernie is the favorite to be the nominee.

[squirecam]

1. There is so much wrong there so

I’ll just stick with no.

Bernie is not the favorite.

[Firebrand Gary]

2. Bernie lost Iowa.

[wisteria]

3. Did he win his home state in a landslide?

If he didn’t, his win doesn’t seem so significant to me.

[Cal Carpenter]

23. Well no, not yet.

Vermont votes on Super Tuesday.

[Celerity]

4. Bernie is not even leading in delegates after 2 Bernie-friendly states, let alone going along at a

50% + 1 rate needed to get to 1990.

[krissey]

6. One caucus, one next door. And still Buttigieg is a delegate ahead.

Edit: 2 ahead. It was a tie in New Hampshire. Lol

[Celerity]

11. 2 delegates ahead. I am in no manner saying Pete is going to be the nominee at all btw.

I am just happy that he and now Amy are doing the heavy lifting in terms of blocking Bernie atm.

Congrats on Amy's GREAT showing btw! She is an amazing campaigner!

[krissey]

24. No, we do not know what is going to happen this primary. But we do know Sanders revolution

did not show up in the two states that he should have gotten a landslide.

[Blue_true]

15. 2 delegates ahead for Pete. nt

[krissey]

26. I caught that after I posted. Sanders didn't even win but a TIE on the delegates, lol

[George II]

9. Two Sanders "wins" (as he characterizes it) gets him two less delegates than Buttigieg...

Except for Vermont, what else does Sanders have in the quiver?

[krissey]

5. lol

[George II]

7. Bernie's "win" tonight netted him the same number of delegates as Buttigieg. His "win" last week....

...netted him two delegates less than Buttigieg. So much "winning" (sound familiar?)

[Happyhippychick]

10. Yeah, this. Bernie-math means 2 wins equals 2 fewer delegates

[George II]

20. Bazinga!

[DanTex]

13. Early states are all about momentum, press, and fundraising, not delegates.

Everyone knows this, especially Biden (and his donors). The delegate battle starts on Super Tuesday. Thanks to his wins in Iowa and NH, Bernie's poll numbers have gone up all over the country. And Biden's numbers have dropped all over the country. Pete and Amy have gotten some momentum, but they can't compete in large and diverse states.

[George II]

17. Yes, and Buttigieg has all the momentum now, Sanders no so much.

[DanTex]

19. LOL.

[George II]

21. "Momentum" doesn't result in two delegate losses.

[frazzled]

8. You lost me at "Bernie's Iowa win"

News flash: he didn’t

[Blue_true]

12. Bernie barely lost Iowa and barely won NH. Buttigieg barely won Iowa and barely lost NH.

Buttigieg leads Sanders by 2 delegates after tonight, same as it was coming into tonight. The count is 23 Buttigieg, 21 Sanders. Florida alone awards something like 180-200 delegates.

[George II]

18. Bazinga!

[Garrett78]

14. At DU, "Iowa and New Hampshire don't matter." History and the real world disagree.

[Blue_true]

25. I past years, there has never been a massive wildcard like Bloomberg waiting out there.

This year will most likely be different from history.

[texasfiddler]

16. Bernie had biggest, most beautiful win

The likes of which we have never seen.

[InAbLuEsTaTe]

31. Yes & get used to it!! It's a movement the likes of which I thought I'd never see in my lifetime!!

It brings tears to me eyes!!


Bernie/Elizabeth or Elizabeth/Bernie 2020!!
Either way, they're stronger together & can't be bought!!
Jump on the Bernie Bandwagon & join The Revolution!!

[RockRaven]

22. Is this a quality unique to Senator Sanders, or is it true in the general case?

Please flesh out the parameters of this phenomenon for the curious, if you could.

Does it applies to anyone beyond this one individual who seems to be your primary concern, is it just confined to politicians, or does it also apply to sports teams, chess masters, golfers, car racers, competitive eaters, hedge-fund managers, or others?

This is a very interesting take on the state of the world. Please explain the extent and limits of this phenomenon for the curious.

[Woodycall]

27. There is definitely a MSM vendetta against Sanders...

"live TV acid trip where he thought he was being executed in Central Park" - by Fidel Castro FFS... The rich Democratic centrist elites want someone elected that will be the "pawl" in the ratchet. Someone who will maintain the status quo in it's current rightward position so the fascists can catch their breath, regroup, and come at us with renewed zeal. They're millionaires and got used to having "nice things" and LOVE their tax breaks. I agree, more or less, with everything you wrote.

[InAbLuEsTaTe]

29. NO QUESTION ABOUT IT!!

Bernie/Elizabeth or Elizabeth/Bernie 2020!!
Either way, they're stronger together & can't be bought!!
Jump on the Bernie Bandwagon & join The Revolution!!

[Woodycall]

35. Seriously...

If he wants to be President, who else would he roll with? And seriously, if she believes in her policies and wants the closest version of them carried out, who else would she support (or team with)? I think that that's the next thing that nobody sees coming. Yet...

[InAbLuEsTaTe]

38. Well, as you could probably tell, I see it coming... have for a VERY long time!!

Bernie/Elizabeth or Elizabeth/Bernie 2020!!
Either way, they're stronger together & can't be bought!!
Jump on the Bernie Bandwagon & join The Revolution!!

[InAbLuEsTaTe]

28. PHENOMENAL POST DAN!! IT'S HOW YOU KNOW BERNIE IS GOING TO WIN IT ALL!!

Bernie/Elizabeth or Elizabeth/Bernie 2020!!
Either way, they're stronger together & can't be bought!!
Jump on the Bernie Bandwagon & join The Revolution!!

[chillfactor]

30. No Bermie will not be the nominee

as much as your heart desires it.

[DanTex]

32. Maybe maybe not. Might be Bloomberg.

But it’s not gonna be Pete or Amy or Biden.

[msongs]

33. the significance is that the vast overwhelming majority of voters so far do not want HIM :-) and

chose someone else.

[Woodycall]

36. The vast overwhelming majority of voters...

don't want anybody yet. But they want him more than anybody else. It's 2 States FFS. In today's national polls, he beats Trump by more than anybody else (where have you been?). Doesn't that count for anything?

[betsuni]

37. I thought this said "The significance of Bernie's whines ... ."

Centrist pundits, centrist candidates. Centrist centrist centrist.