Nate Silver on "the front runner"

[Hassin Bin Sober]

Link to tweet

[JoeOtterbein]

1. Just one word:

[link:

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[Hassin Bin Sober]

7. .

[Laelth]

2. Pete IS the frontrunner.

But that will (probably) change after NV and SC. Super Tuesday is the first date upon which Democrats may find a modicum of certainty regarding their candidates.

-Laelth

[unitedwethrive]

6. I like Pete, but I would rather have people underestimate him.

Sometimes flying under the radar for a while is a good thing.

[Laelth]

10. True.

A string of 2nd place finishes in the early-voting states is enough. It worked for Bill Clinton in 1992, and Mayor Pete seems to be following the same pattern.



-Laelth

[Dem2]

3. We've learned almost nothing to date

Field is wide open heading forward. Expect Bernie to poll relatively stably while other candidates move up or down in ways we can't predict yet.

[Renew Deal]

4. Nate is basically correct.

Setting aside delegate counts.

[Awsi Dooger]

9. Definitely correct

It reminds me of when my little sister was 6 years old. Whenever we watched horse races on television I would ask her in midstream to go up to the screen and point to the eventual winner.

She was no dummy. Even if it were a nose in front she would point to that horse and confidently exclaim. "Him!"

[Tiggeroshii]

5. Kick, Rec

GO BERNIE!!!

[booley]

8. Last I heard Nate Silver was not a Bernie fan

Which gives a certain credibility to his analysis.