Iowa & NH: "These attributes are more associated with Republican voters than Democratic ones."

[bluewater]

From the article: Just how demographically skewed are the early Democratic primary states?

It is well known that the first two states to vote—Iowa and New Hampshire—differ sharply from the nation on their racial-ethnic attributes. With a white population share of 85% and 90%, respectively (compared to 60.4% for the nation as a whole), they are the sixth and fourth “whitest” states. They also have somewhat older age structures, decidedly less urbanized populations, and a much higher representation of white adults without college educations (“noncollege whites”) than the rest of the nation.

These attributes, interestingly, are more associated with Republican voters than Democratic ones. So Iowa and New Hampshire voters in their Democratic caucus/primary are more likely to be whiter, older, and comprised of more noncollege whites than primary voters in other states, as was the case in the 2016 presidential primaries.

https://www.brookings.edu/blog/the-avenue/2020/01/31/just-how-demographically-skewed-are-the-early-democratic-primary-states/

Interesting. This gives insight into why Buttigieg and Klobuchar both did well in New Hampshire last night.

[dlk]

1. With these attributes, how do Iowa and New Hampshire skew the subsequent primaries?

It would seem their momentum would have a conservative influence, ultimately, on the election as a whole. Something for Democrats to think about going forward.

[bluewater]

2. It's impressive that Sanders did so well in the face of such conservative influence.

Credit where credit is due.