Will Buttigieg drop out after South Carolina?

[bluewater]

Serious question.

How poorly can Pete do in SC and still be viable?



It's only fair to ask since people are saying Biden is done after Iowa and New Hampshire.

[Agschmid]

1. As long as people continue to earn delegates they are viable IMO.

[TexasTowelie]

2. He has done well in fundraising so I doubt it.

Even if Pete craters during the month of March he may decide to hang around to influence the party platform.

[Pachamama]

3. After Super Tuesday is my guess

[hlthe2b]

4. It is indeed as ludicrous as the posts re: Biden (and Warren, for that matter)

I think it smacks of desperation to drive certain candidates out of the race...

[bluewater]

8. Thank you for understanding the point of my OP.

That was exactly the point I was trying to make.

Warren is in third place in total delegates at this point, ahead of both Biden and Klobuchar, yet people have been saying that she is the candidate that "needs to" drop out.

[Act_of_Reparation]

5. He'll probably declare victory no matter how many votes he has.

Seems to be his style.

[SCantiGOP]

11. Really?

When you come in first and second you have a right to claim some victory.

[The Velveteen Ocelot]

12. Since he won the most delegates, why wouldn't he?

[frazzled]

13. Votes you have is meaningless in a primary

It’s delegates you obtain. The nomination is reached by obtaining 1,990 delegates.

I don’t understand why people don’t get the difference between party primaries and general elections.

Buttigieg is now minutely ahead in delegates. That probably won’t last for long. But right now, he had the right to claim a win in Iowa, since he won the most delegates there. (Claiming you won because you had more votes on a first alignment, as Sanders did, was the incorrect thing). And Buttigieg did not claim to win New Hampshire. But he did win an equal number of delegates there.

Rules are rules (and vary from state to state), and whether you like them or not, you can’t just ignore them.

[tiredtoo]

6. We have to wait until Super Tuesday

At that point the field should be narrowed to 2 possibly 3 viable contenders. IMHO

[dawg day]

7. He's done very well in the first two states-

I don't think a poor showing in SC will mean much, as it's expected. Super Tuesday will be the big event. Everyone should hang on until then.

I think there might be some consolidation -- to one progressive, two moderates maybe by then.

[SCantiGOP]

9. Why in the hell would he drop out

Last edited Wed Feb 12, 2020, 12:46 PM - Edit history (1)

when Super Tuesday is 3 days after SC?

[Celerity]

14. they were trying to make a point that no one should be the targets of calls to drop out amongst

Buttigieg
Bernie
Warren
Biden
Klobuchar
Bloomberg

Steyer is polling very well atm in SC, but I suspect he drops out after Super Tuesday

Gabbard and Patrick may drop out today

[bluewater]

15. Exactly.

Warren is in third place in total delegates at this point, ahead of both Biden and Klobuchar, yet people have been saying that she is the candidate that "needs to" drop out.

[denem]

16. Looking at that list, Celerity

Buttigieg
Bernie
Warren
Biden
Klobuchar
Bloomberg

The amazing thing is that all of them are viable / potentially viable. Six in all. This has not happened before. Evah.

[The Velveteen Ocelot]

10. Why do people keep asking "Will X drop out after the Y primary"?

These are dumb questions. What will happen in any campaign will depend on things that aren't reliably predictable, especially in an election as weird as this one. How much money do they have? How much influence will Bloomberg have? Will they say or do something unexpected that either harms or helps them? Will Trump do something that either harms or helps them? Will an external event have an influence? Typically candidates drop out when they run out of money and don't see that more is coming in, or some previously-undiscovered misdeed is discovered about them. John Edwards abruptly dropped out in late January, ostensibly because he was running out of money, but his affair was about to be revealed as well. Then there was Gary Hart, who was the front-runner in 1988 until his affair was discovered. Stuff can happen. Asking questions about when/if a candidate will drop out is pretty pointless and just irritates their supporters.

[bluewater]

18. Well, as a Warren supporter...

I posted the OP to make just that point.

Even though she is in third place in total delegates, people, many people, have been posting that she "needs to" drop out.

One poster even went so far to say he thought she might suspend her campaign today. (Glares in the general direction of Brooklynite lol)

[brooklynite]

17. NOBODY will drop out after SC...Super Tuesday is three days later.

[bluewater]

19. lol last night YOU posted about going out on a limb and predicted Warren's withdrawl TODAY!

lol

shame!



I am glad you see things differently in the light of day.


yes. My OP was... a trap!

Joking. Mostly. Well, not really joking at all.

[brooklynite]

20. I stand by what I said...

..about Warren, based on her poor performance and early concession speech.

The point about SC is: with Super Tuesday only three days later, your investments have already been made; there's no incentive to drop out at that point.

[bluewater]

21. So we should expect you to retract that tomorrow morning? ;)

Warren's speech was realistic but she appeared more than determined to press on.
Warren has plenty of money to campaign thru Super Tuesday.

As she should.


But... I knew my "trap" about Pete would lure you in. lol

So we should expect your admission of being wrong first thing tomorrow morning then? When Warren is still in the race?

Joking. But there is a serious point underlying the joke.


Best regards, and On to Nevada!