Warren only achieved half her objectives in NH

[bluewater]

Warren needed to do 2 things in the New Hampshire primary:

1. Finish ahead of Joe Biden.

2. Finish in the top 3.

Well, she only managed to beat Biden.
Amy Klobuchar finished ahead of here in a surprising surge to a 3rd place finish.

This means that Nevada looms as a make or break state for her.

While it's typical for most of us to spin for our candidates, especially after a poor night, I will be frank.

Warren needs to finish no worse than third next week in Nevada.

I think she can do that, but, honestly, this time she needs to beat both Biden and Klobuchar.

Right now she is in third place in actual delegates, ahead of both Klobuchar and Biden, and she needs to stay there to remain viable going forward.

[Fresh_Start]

1. The problem for Liz is Bernie

they are competing for the same population
and bernie people have been ferociously protective of bernie and willing to shit on Liz

I say this as someone who reluctantly moved from Liz to Amy and would be thrilled with either and think both are a longshot

[bluewater]

3. There is competition in the moderate lane for those candidates too.

So, as long as this remains a multicandidate race, Warren needs to stay ahead of both Biden and Klobuchar.

They have their own moderate competition in Buttigieg and probably Bloomberg to deal with themselves.

[Fresh_Start]

4. totally agree with you there

too many moderate candidates...
it needs to shake out before too much of super tuesday voting occurs (early voting and vote by mail)

[squirecam]

2. As there is no polling here

We are the mystery box caucus. You don’t know what polling number you are going to get.

Don’t lose too much at the crap table while you are here America!