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reggieandlee

(778 posts)
Thu Feb 13, 2020, 08:50 AM Feb 2020

BTRTN N.H. Postmortem: Another 1-1A Showing for Bernie and Pete, But the Only Clear Winner was Amy

Born To Run The Numbers provides its analysis of the New Hampshire Primary, and the implications for each candidate:

http://www.borntorunthenumbers.com/2020/02/btrtn-new-hampshire-primary-postmortem.html

Excerpts: "... You can typically count on New Hampshire to: 1) run a fine primary, 2) back a different horse than Iowa and 3) winnow the field. Well, one out of three ain’t bad... Not only did New Hampshire not reject the Iowa verdict, the results there completely reinforced the 'not really one winner' status of Bernie Sanders and Pete Buttigieg. The pair again ran so close that you can dub them 1 and 1a, and have trouble, as of now, deciding which was which...

"And as for winnowing the field, that did not happen either. Sure, Andrew Yang, Michael Bennet and Deval Patrick dropped out, and it was a terrible night for Joe Biden and Elizabeth Warren, but there remain seven viable nominees, and each of them (except Warren) has an argument, a logic path, on how they will secure the nomination from this point on. The real field not been winnowed at all.

"Sanders, in his own backyard, managed to beat Buttigieg, the mayor of a small city a thousand miles away, by a mere 1.3%, and did not pick up a single delegate more than Pete. This was a very hollow victory for Sanders...

"As stated, six of the seven remaining viable candidates still have a logic path to victory that they can tout to donors and their faithful. Let’s go through them..."

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided
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