New FLA poll with Bloomberg 27% Biden 26% Sanders 10% was done AFTER NH primary

[highplainsdem]

So Democratic voters in Florida had already seen Sanders effectively tied with Buttigieg in Iowa and very narrowly ahead in NH, and their response was a loud "NO, THANK YOU."

Warren is at 5% in Florida, so the two most leftwing candidates have a combined total of, wow, 15%.

Bloomberg and Biden have a combined total of 53%.

Add in Buttigieg (11%) and Klobuchar (9%) and the top moderate candidates have a combined total of 73%.

73% to 15%.

http://stpetepolls.org/files/StPetePolls_2020_State_DEMprimaryFebruary13_YBN5.pdf


We can forget about Florida if Sanders is the nominee.

And this is before the GOP can flood Florida with ads showing what Sanders has said about Castro.

[mikeysnot]

1. Just curious where the

he's not a "real" Democrat people are with this guy...

[Act_of_Reparation]

2. Seems to be they're cheering for him.

Weird, isn't it?

[Butterflylady]

4. Sorry to disagree

But I think the need to beat trmp is more important.

[Act_of_Reparation]

21. I'm pretty sure everyone here thinks that.

[highplainsdem]

3. Which guy?

[Amimnoch]

6. Simple: He's not attacking the party.

Now I speak only for myself, but my party problems with Bernie don't extend to Bloomberg for that simple reason. It's also why I had absolutely no problem at all with warren's long ago history with the Republican party.

If Bloomberg's platform was attacking the Democratic Party, Democratic Party Leadership I'd have just as big an issue with him wearing our party tag as I do with BS.

If Bloomberg's campaign leadership was filled with people who helped deny us the first female president in our history, and putting Trump into place by their outspoken, and to this day completely unapologetic support of 3rd party I'd have just as big a problem with his wearing of our party tag as I do with BS.

So, yeah, there is a double standard, but there's definitely justifiable reason for it.

[mikeysnot]

9. GLWT

[Amimnoch]

10. Thank you!

[honest.abe]

5. Sanders is toast if this is for real.

Florida is one of most important, significant and diverse states politically in the country and a major bellweather.

[jimfields33]

7. Hillary won the Florida primary but not the state in the general

But Bernie could have won the state in 2016 and will in 2020.

[highplainsdem]

11. What makes you think Sanders could win in Florida this year? There isn't a single primary

poll going back through last spring that didn't show Biden leading...until this one, which is a statistical tie with Bloomberg.

If somehow Sanders gets the nomination (God forbid), Florida voters will be reminded 24/7 of the nice things he's said about Fidel Castro.

[Mz Pip]

13. The anti-Bernie ads will write themselves

All Trump will have to do is use Bernie’s own words. Won’t even have to make stuff up in Florida.

[jimfields33]

15. The young don't care about that

There is a huge youth population in Florida.

[highplainsdem]

16. Are you at all familiar with Florida?

Here's a page from a state government website (Office of Economic and Demographic Research):


http://edr.state.fl.us/Content/population-demographics/data/Pop_Census_Day.pdf


The population over 44 outnumbers the 18-44 year olds by a few million. Over 11 million to under 8 million.

[honest.abe]

20. Thank you for posting facts.

[honest.abe]

22. If you read the poll it appears Florida doesnt like Sanders at all.

He's got 10%. That's hardly a blip on the charts.

[democrattotheend]

23. No way Bernie would have won Florida in 2016

His speech praising Castro would kill him there.

He might have done better than Hillary in states like Pennsylvania and Michigan (debatable), but no way would he have won Florida.

[Blue_true]

27. You are just doing some incredible projection.

I live in Florida, Bernie would get destroyed here. That would have also happened in 2016.

I believe Hillary lost Florida because she didn't make ANY personal appearance in the less urban parts of the state. Even with that, she lost the state by only 115,000 votes, a tiny number out of the approximately 8 million that were cast in 16.

[uponit7771]

8. Damn, what Are the Sanders to Trump polls in Florida?

[Celerity]

12. there are no really new ones, but wow, this poll is disastrous for Biden, a 24 point lead dropped

in around 2 weeks poll over poll




http://stpetepolls.org/files/StPetePolls_2020_State_DEMprimaryFebruary13_YBN5.pdf



Methodology:
The poll was conducted through an automated phone call polling system. The results were then
weighted to account for proportional differences between the respondents' demographics and the
demographics of the active Democratic voter population for the state of Florida. The weighting
demographics used were: race, age, gender and media market.
Respondents that stated they were not likely to vote in the March 17th Primary election were
excluded from the results.
The scientific results shown for the questions below have a sample size of 3,047 and a 1.8% Margin
of Error at a 95% confidence level.


http://stpetepolls.org/files/StPetePolls_2020_State_DEMprimary_January28_WN2A.pdf



Methodology:
The poll was conducted through an automated phone call polling system. The results were then
weighted to account for proportional differences between the respondents' demographics and the
demographics of the active Democratic voter population for the state of Florida. The weighting
demographics used were: race, age, gender and media market.
Respondents that stated they were not likely to vote in the March 17th Primary election were
excluded from the results.
The scientific results shown for the questions below have a sample size of 2,590 and a 1.9%
Margin of Error at a 95% confidence level.

[highplainsdem]

17. Yes, Bloomberg is surging in this poll, as in other polls.

Given the number of New Yorkers who retire to Florida, there are probably a lot of voters there who voted for Bloomberg when he ran for mayor of NYC.

[uponit7771]

18. 41 - 26 is a 15 point drop why spin?

[Celerity]

19. Going from a 24 point lead to trailing by one is a net minus 25, so why are you spinning?

[MineralMan]

14. That's a very interesting poll.

It reinforces what I've been thinking about how this might go at the convention.

Bernie Sanders' drop in the polling in FL adds to my interest in this poll.

Once again, I'm eagerly waiting for the Super Tuesday results on March 4. We'll have a much better picture then. This election year is going to break some long-held conventional wisdom, I believe. It may change how presidential primary politics go from now on.

Until we know what happens on Super Tuesday, though, it's too early to predict anything from this individual poll, I think.

[Scurrilous]

24. K&R

[Awsi Dooger]

25. Trump would not have to campaign or spend in Florida with Sanders our nominee

Maybe it requires living here to understand that, especially living in South Florida. Bernie Sanders would not be competitive, at least not in terms of recent statewide results.

Trump would spend some and campaign some merely due to his homes and Doral, etc., but he wouldn't need to do it. Fear and old white people would dictate the state. We would lose the House races we won narrowly in 2018. None of this is theoretical. It is unavoidable.

The hilarious aspect would be if Bernie Sanders were actually dunce enough to contest Florida, just like Hillary was dunce enough to contest Ohio and Iowa given the realities of 2016.

The Andrew Gillum 2018 example is merely a minor league version of what would happen to Bernie Sanders in this state. There won't be any reason to pay attention.

[Turin_C3PO]

26. Sad to see Bloomberg ahead.

I wish he was in Sanders’ position.

[onetexan]

28. Either Biden or Bloomberg is fine with me. No BS.

[Turin_C3PO]

29. Sanders is my third to last choice

behind Gabbard and Bloomberg. Bloomberg has a terrible record regarding minority rights. I’ll say it again that I will of course vote for him if he is our party’s nominee.

[octoberlib]

30. Bernie's ticked up one point. He was at 9% in Florida.