Democratic Primaries
Related: About this forumSanders Demolishes Bloomberg, Buttigieg, and Klobuchar Head-to-Head, Says New Poll
attn Warren supporters: stick with it to the last paragraph.
snip
Yahoo News and YouGov are out with a new poll showing that Sanders beats all of his top competitors in head-to-head races. He currently wins at least 53 percent of the vote against Bloomberg, Buttigieg, and Klobuchar, none of whom break more than 38 percent. The matchup is closer with Biden, who gets 44 percent versus 48 percent of Sanders. But the tightest race is with Warren, who trails him 42 percent to 44 percent, with plenty of undecideds.
Its just one poll. But it does seem to reflect one of Sanders often overlooked strengths: The man is incredibly well-liked by normal Democratic voters. Sure, he might terrify some Democratic National Committee officials and cable news talking heads. Hillary Clinton and her hangers-on still have it out for the guy. But according to Morning Consult, hes got a 74 percent favorability rating within the party, higher than any other candidate. A lot of current Biden, Buttigieg, Warren, and even Bloomberg supporters currently list him as a second choice.
This might not make a ton of sense if you assume that voters pick their candidates on strictly rational ideological grounds. But thats obviously not how the world works. People vote for candidates because theyre familiar, because they seem trustworthy, or just because theyre kind of likable. There are some Democrats out there who are probably planning to vote for Bloomberg right now because theyve been inundated with his ads, but otherwise would default to Sanders because theyve been hearing his name since 2016 and kind of enjoy the guys attitude. It might not make sense to a news junkie, but in the grand scheme of American voters, news junkies are really the outliers. (note from OP: this means you! And me, too!)
Its possible that candidates like Klobuchar or Buttigieg could gain ground one-on-one against Sanders as they become more familiar to the national electorate. But if moderates take this latest head-to-head poll seriously, it really suggests thatas of nowtheir best shot at beating Sanders is to coalesce around Biden or Warren. Personally, Id suggest the latter. Biden still has residual love left over from his days as Joe the Veep. But watching him talk feels like staring into an RCA TV from 1985 with a busted antenna: The picture and sound are half static, and youre never really sure when the whole thing is going to break down for good. Warren, on the other hand, is a vibrant, avowed capitalist who has pretty much promised that she wont waste time trying to pass single-payer health care. Sure, her campaigns flagging, but in our current election cycle, this staunch progressive just might be the last great neoliberal hope.
Link
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
BusyBeingBest
(8,052 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
brooklynite
(94,331 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
BusyBeingBest
(8,052 posts)Amazing the support he has retained even with so many other choices this time around.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
OliverQ
(3,363 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
brooklynite
(94,331 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
OliverQ
(3,363 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Mz Pip
(27,430 posts)The GOP have 40 years of opposition research. Theyll use it.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
OliverQ
(3,363 posts)And Praising Castro would only affect the older Cuban vote. The rest of Latinos are more liberal and don't care about Castro.
The GOP's years of oppo research is meaningless. Most of the crap they have, no one cares about and there is nothing on Bernie that Trump hasn't done far worse. Bernie is still superior to Trump every way imaginable.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
jcmaine72
(1,773 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
democratisphere
(17,235 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
thesquanderer
(11,971 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
democratisphere
(17,235 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
thesquanderer
(11,971 posts)Because from what I can remember, Sanders beats most if not all other candidates in any favorability poll I've seen. They can't ALL be wacky, right?
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Garrett78
(10,721 posts)But this is a site where a racist, misogynistic asshole who has been buying support for decades is somehow acceptable.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
questionseverything
(9,645 posts)he is also a republican
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
NJCher
(35,619 posts)Please include methodology in your explanation.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Scotch-Irish
(464 posts)Not meaningless.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
democratisphere
(17,235 posts)Later mentions BS socialist position and how it is a known vote killer.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
NJCher
(35,619 posts)"wacky." I think you may be trying to say something else.
And dependence upon one polling organization doesn't produce a very significant statement
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
democratisphere
(17,235 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
NJCher
(35,619 posts)thanks for the link, but unnecessary.
I guess we English professors would call this a word choice problem.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
calguy
(5,292 posts)Look into a mirror for five minutes.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
NJCher
(35,619 posts)knee slapper!
What a wit.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
HarlanPepper
(2,042 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
brooklynite
(94,331 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
thesquanderer
(11,971 posts)Different people may prefer different other candidates (which is why he may just get 25%-30% if running against a whole bunch of them), but -- besides leading in votes -- it does provide another way to show that no SINGLE candidate has as much support as he has, even if an amalgam of ALL the other candidates polls better (i.e. why he wins with just 25% or whatever). The thing is, there's no way to actually vote for an amalgam of all the others... in the end, you can only vote for one. So this kind of theoretical head-to-head further demonstrates that, if we can have only one candidate, Sanders is the one with the most support. Which I think is interesting information.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
jrthin
(4,833 posts)and not the Dem. candidates? Isn't his behavior destructive to the Dems?
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
mdelaguna
(471 posts)Would be glad to vote for either (or any other nominee). Just their tudes match the anger (fire!) I perceive is needed for these times.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Aaron Pereira
(383 posts)They seem to have convinced themselves that supporters of other candidates fall into the "never Bernie" category. Somehow the race is a two person match between Bernie Sanders and everyone else and everyone else put together means Sanders is losing. Facts say otherwise.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
MoonlitKnight
(1,584 posts)Warren is the one with the best shot to beat him.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
HarlanPepper
(2,042 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Olafjoy
(937 posts)and my suburban college educated women friends who are In our 40s. And 50s who vote in every election and knock on doors and register voters and who are regular Democrats here in Arizona dont like Bernie. Sorry. We dont. So dont generalize and say we do. Thank You.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
questionseverything
(9,645 posts)when is the last time az went dem in a presidential election?
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
creeksneakers2
(7,472 posts)He pokes and lectures.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
AmericanGraffiti
(90 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided