Democratic Primaries
Related: About this forumJust a reminder that a lot of folks didn't think Obama could win back in 2008
and then he crushed it:
Fears grow that Obama can't win
Analysts believe white working class Democrats will defect to McCain if Clinton is not the nominee
Paul Harris in New York
@paulxharris
Sat 31 May 2008 19.01 EDTFirst published on Sat 31 May 2008 19.01 EDT
With senator Barack Obama poised this week to clinch his party's nomination for President, there are growing fears in some quarters that the Democratic party may not be choosing its strongest candidate to beat Republican John McCain.
Senator Hillary Clinton has been making that argument for weeks. Now some recent polls and analysis, looking particularly at vital battleground states and support among white voters, have bolstered her case - even as Obama looks certain to become the nominee.
Obama supporters reject this argument and point to his record of boosting Democratic voter turnout, especially among the young. But sceptics in the party, already nervous about nominating Obama after the furore over outspoken pastor Jeremiah Wright, are growing increasingly concerned. 'There is an element of buyer's remorse in some areas. The question is whether it gets really strong now or in September - or even after the election is over, if he loses,' said Steve Mitchell, head of political consultancy Mitchell Research.
Another boost to Clinton's case came late last week after a pro-Obama preacher gave a race-tinged rant against her at Obama's church in Chicago. In a recent sermon Michael Pfleger - a long-term Obama backer who is white - mocked Clinton as an entitled white person angry at a black man having beaten her. His angry, red-faced speech, in which he mimicked Clinton weeping, was played repeatedly across American cable channels and the internet.
The news sent shock waves through Democratic circles; many had hoped Obama had put 'pastor problems' behind him. 'It is more of the same problem as Wright. It reinforces the image among some voters that Obama does not share their values,' said Mitchell.
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2008/jun/01/barackobama.uselections2008
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
MH1
(17,600 posts)At the very least, ACT like we believe it. Even in private.
This goes for me too, even if one of my least favorites becomes the nominee.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
OliverQ
(3,363 posts)McCain was viewed as the moderate in 2008. Obama was not expected to be able to beat him because he was viewed as too radical, and advocated change.
There is no rational, evidenced based argument that any of the moderate/centrist Democrats like Buttigieg, Klobuchar, Biden, Bloomberg, etc. can win in a general election.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
HarlanPepper
(2,042 posts)When Sanders supporters need Obama to be a moderate hes a moderate. When Sanders supporters need him to be a liberal hes a liberal.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
OliverQ
(3,363 posts)Compared to McCain he was a liberal.
Just like Bernie is far-left in the United States, but if he ran in Europe he'd be pretty standard left or Center-left.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Cha
(297,222 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Vivienne235729
(3,384 posts)It is so vastly different even in the last 4 years. Things are being done in the open that would have NEVER been thought of back in 2008.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Moderateguy
(945 posts)Obama managed to get a lot of people to vote.
I am going to assume that OP is saying this in relation to the arguments that Sanders is unelectable. Sanders gets a lot of people to turn up to his rallies but it does not translate into voters at the ballot box. If the amount of people turning up at his rallies were truly indicative of the number of people that turn up for him on election day--he would have won IA and would have won NH by a much bigger margin that he actually did.
That is the BIG difference.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
spicysista
(1,663 posts)No one questioned whether or not blacks (our most reliable demographic) would turnout to support candidate Obama. They did underestimate black turnout models for both of his elections. With just about everyone in the field this time, black turnout will be in question. That's why this is different.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Zolorp
(1,115 posts)Sanders is no Obama.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
NurseJackie
(42,862 posts)He also didn't smear the Democratic party with lies about the party being "corrupt" or "ideologically bankrupt" or being "no different that the GOP". He didn't see the Democratic party as being "the party of the one percent".
So many differences.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Codeine
(25,586 posts)No comparison.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden