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Democratic Primaries
Related: About this forumMonmouth VA poll has Sanders/Bloomberg tie, and Biden & Bloomberg beating Sanders head to head
A+ rated poll:
https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/documents/monmouthpoll_va_021820.pdf/
Among Virginia voters who are likely to participate in the Democratic primary on March 3, support currently stands at 22% for Bloomberg, 22% for Sanders, and 18% for Biden. They are trailed by Pete Buttigieg (11%), Amy Klobuchar (9%), and Elizabeth Warren (5%). Another 11% of likely primary voters remain undecided and do not lean toward any candidate at this time.
Virginia does not have party registration and any voter may participate in the primary. Among those who identify themselves as Democrats, Sanders (22%), Biden (21%), and Bloomberg (20%) are on equal footing. Other candidates get less support among self-identified Democrats, including Buttigieg (13%), Klobuchar (7%), and Warren (6%). Among those who call themselves independents (plus a small number of self-identified Republicans), Bloomberg (25%) and Sanders (23%) share the lead, followed by Biden (13%), Klobuchar (13%), and Buttigieg (8%), with Warren getting only 2%. White voters are split between Bloomberg (25%) and Sanders (23%), while Biden leads among black voters (37%). One-third of voters under 50 years old prefer Sanders (35%), while a similar number of those aged 65 and over back Bloomberg (32%). Virginia provides an interesting test on Super Tuesday.
-snip-
The poll asked voters how they would vote in a hypothetical two-person race pitting Sanders against one of the more moderate candidates. In these scenarios, Sanders edges past both Klobuchar (45% to 42%) and Buttigieg (44% to 42%) but comes out on the losing end against Bloomberg (41% to 47%) and by an even wider margin against Biden (38% to 51%).
In a Sanders versus Biden matchup, the former vice president has a small lead among white voters (49% Biden to 40% Sanders) and an even wider lead among black voters (63% to 27%). In a Sanders versus Bloomberg matchup, the white voter gap is about the same as for Biden (50% Bloomberg to 39% Sanders), while Sanders has a slight lead among black voters (43% Bloomberg to 49% Sanders). Men are split on Biden (48%) and Sanders (42%), while Biden wins among women (54% to 35%). Against Bloomberg, the race is somewhat closer among women (46% Bloomberg to 42% Sanders) than it is among men (49% Bloomberg to 39% Sanders).
-snip-
Virginia does not have party registration and any voter may participate in the primary. Among those who identify themselves as Democrats, Sanders (22%), Biden (21%), and Bloomberg (20%) are on equal footing. Other candidates get less support among self-identified Democrats, including Buttigieg (13%), Klobuchar (7%), and Warren (6%). Among those who call themselves independents (plus a small number of self-identified Republicans), Bloomberg (25%) and Sanders (23%) share the lead, followed by Biden (13%), Klobuchar (13%), and Buttigieg (8%), with Warren getting only 2%. White voters are split between Bloomberg (25%) and Sanders (23%), while Biden leads among black voters (37%). One-third of voters under 50 years old prefer Sanders (35%), while a similar number of those aged 65 and over back Bloomberg (32%). Virginia provides an interesting test on Super Tuesday.
-snip-
The poll asked voters how they would vote in a hypothetical two-person race pitting Sanders against one of the more moderate candidates. In these scenarios, Sanders edges past both Klobuchar (45% to 42%) and Buttigieg (44% to 42%) but comes out on the losing end against Bloomberg (41% to 47%) and by an even wider margin against Biden (38% to 51%).
In a Sanders versus Biden matchup, the former vice president has a small lead among white voters (49% Biden to 40% Sanders) and an even wider lead among black voters (63% to 27%). In a Sanders versus Bloomberg matchup, the white voter gap is about the same as for Biden (50% Bloomberg to 39% Sanders), while Sanders has a slight lead among black voters (43% Bloomberg to 49% Sanders). Men are split on Biden (48%) and Sanders (42%), while Biden wins among women (54% to 35%). Against Bloomberg, the race is somewhat closer among women (46% Bloomberg to 42% Sanders) than it is among men (49% Bloomberg to 39% Sanders).
-snip-
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
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Monmouth VA poll has Sanders/Bloomberg tie, and Biden & Bloomberg beating Sanders head to head (Original Post)
highplainsdem
Feb 2020
OP
Celerity
(54,005 posts)1. Sanders losing to Biden by 51-38 in a 2 person race is good news nt
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
highplainsdem
(60,836 posts)3. Very.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Skya Rhen
(2,724 posts)2. Bloomberg joined this race a few weeks ago to steal victory from the jaws of defeat. He's splitting
the centrist votes, resulting in Bernie leading everyone. Ridiculous.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
honest.abe
(9,238 posts)4. Virginia is a critical win state in both the primary and the general.
Diverse bellweather state.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
totodeinhere
(13,688 posts)5. I think this is a big poll for Biden.
I have been saying for a while now don't count out Biden just yet. And I think that once voters get a better chance to size up Bloomberg a lot of voters will return to Biden. I still think this will end up a Bernie vs Joe contest.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Cha
(317,721 posts)6. KR!
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
