Democratic Primaries
Related: About this forumDon't bet against Joe Biden just yet. He has an ace up his sleeve...Go Joe..You can do this..😎😄
Nevada, the next state voting in the Democratic presidential contest, is known for its casinos. It should be no surprise, then, that former vice president Joe Biden, goes into Saturdays caucus with an ace up his sleeve: black voters
The polls, however, show the pundits are wrong. Biden has always been strongest among black voters, in part because he was vice president to Barack Obama, the nations first black president. Contrary to predictions, blacks have not abandoned Bidens allegedly sinking ship. Instead, polls taken since New Hampshire in five different states by five different pollsters show Biden receiving between 36 percent and 41.5 percent of the black vote. Thats an amazingly consistent result and unlikely to be a coincidence
If Bidens black support holds up that long, he will have prevented Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) from locking up the nomination before the convention. Democrats award their delegates according to a candidates share of the popular vote, so long as that person received at least 15 percent either statewide or in a congressional district. If Biden has locked up the black vote and former New York mayor Mike Bloomberg and former South Bend, Ind., mayor Pete Buttigieg are each breaking 15 percent of the white vote, then Sanders will not have a large delegate lead after four states vote on March 17. More than 61 percent of the delegates will have been awarded by that date; Sanders cannot win the remaining states by large enough margins to give him a majority before the convention.
read here
https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2020/02/18/dont-bet-against-joe-biden-just-yet-he-has-an-ace-up-his-sleeve/
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
wisteria
(19,581 posts)The media is playing games with the polling.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
FloridaBlues
(4,659 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Iamaartist
(3,300 posts)We here already voted for Joe ,in Michigan Absentee ballot
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
LakeArenal
(29,949 posts)And Joe is the most qualified nationally and globally.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Iamaartist
(3,300 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
ibegurpard
(17,077 posts)Having said that I would have zero problem voting for him in the General Election. Zero. I have big reservations about Bloomberg and like Warren the best although I don't see a path for her.
Hoping for a brokered convention is insane though. If a candidate goes into the convention with the most delegates, even if it's only a plurality, putting someone else over the top will spell disaster.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
bigbrother05
(5,995 posts)After a first vote at the convention, the also rans could ask their delegates to vote for a candidate they felt best reflected their own platform.
If Bernie is at 35% or less, there are at least 65% that want something else. We effectively will have a national runoff at the convention.
It will be like a caucus, why wouldn't Bernie like that?
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
emmaverybo
(8,148 posts)whom I believe can gain support from the largest swath of voters in the GE.
However, I am nervous over the recent Nevada poll showing him in fourth place, and the influence of Steyer and Bloombergs ability to invest in both their campaigns and in the state in S.C.
I though Bidens campaigning and endorsements in Nev. very strong.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
democratisphere
(17,235 posts)American voters need to get smart.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
FBaggins
(28,670 posts)This is a valid theory for how Bernie might fall short of winning the nomination outright before the convention. It doesnt do much to demonstrate that this would result in a Biden nomination.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Bayard
(28,990 posts)I'm with him.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
peggysue2
(12,441 posts)Voted for Joe Biden this morning. Wouldn't have it any other way.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Iamaartist
(3,300 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
question everything
(51,845 posts)and did mention that had his supporters were as malicious as Sanders' the media would not let go and he would be held responsible.
(But your boxing mascot hurts my eyes..)
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
abqtommy
(14,118 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Gothmog
(176,683 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Iamaartist
(3,300 posts)I thought that article would give some here understanding. to Joe's path....not sure it will...hope so...
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
