Sanders and Bloomberg Rise, Biden Falls With Sharp Shifts in Views of Electability (ABC News poll)

[brooklynite]

Langer Research

Bernie Sanders has soared and Joe Biden’s crashed in national preference for the Democratic nomination for president, while the Iowa caucuses and New Hampshire primary helped to clear some running room for a candidate who’s not yet been on the ballot: Mike Bloomberg.

Sanders advanced to 32 percent support among Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents in the latest ABC News/Washington Post poll, up 8 percentage points from late January. Biden fell to 17 percent, down 11 points to his lowest of the campaign. And Bloomberg, who takes the stage for the first time in tonight’s debate in Nevada, now has 14 percent support, up 6 points.

By contrast, there’s been little if any movement for Pete Buttigieg, a strong finisher in both early contests; Amy Klobuchar, third in New Hampshire; or Elizabeth Warren, who fell short in both. Warren has 11 percent support nationally, unchanged; Buttigieg, 7; and Klobuchar, 6.

Americans overall are more apt to oppose than to support single-payer government health care, 52-41 percent. And Sanders’ calling himself a democratic socialist or a socialist turns into a net negative in vote intention among all adults; they’re less likely rather than more likely to support Sanders by 31-11 percent given the democratic socialist label and by 38-8 percent as a socialist.

[still_one]

1. and based on the contradictions in the last paragraph of the OP, the 32% support is not a majority

It indicates that Biden, Amy, Pete, and Bloomberg are competing for the same block of votes. How that translates into delegates is the question.

At this time it isn't clear that any candidate will achieve sufficient delegates going into the Convention to cinch the nomination.

That detail is what is usually left out from the media's talking heads, especially when they pump up the "Sanders/Bloomberg surges"

I would argue that Sanders has not moved much out of his base support, and Amy, Biden, Pete, and Bloomberg are just shifting support among them. Warren appears to be static at this time.

National polls are also misleading because that is not how elections are determined for the white house

According to the latest polls, trump has 49% approval.

The Democratic voters really have to think hard which candidate has the best chance to beat trump

[Iliyah]

2. Super Tuesday . . . .

Bloomberg is "surging" even without the primary/caucus votes tallies. VP Biden for all the negatives and poor showing in the two states is still in competition. Then the last paragraph . . .

I'll say at this point in time, anything goes.

[denem]

3. Sanders opens substantial lead would be a more accurate headline.

+15.