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Joe BidenCongratulations to our presumptive Democratic nominee, Joe Biden!
 

Bumperstickers

(199 posts)
Wed Feb 19, 2020, 04:54 PM Feb 2020

Those who say 75 % are against Sanders forget Obama 2008

Iowa. Caucus 2008

Obama 37
Clinton 29
Edwards 29

58% were against Obama

New Hampshire primary

Clinton 39
Obama 36
Edward's 17

56% were against Obama

2008 Nevada caucus

Clinton 50
Obama 45

Big change after edwards dropped out.

This just shows that no matter who is the candidate in a larger field then two, the percentages will be way down.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided
8 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
Those who say 75 % are against Sanders forget Obama 2008 (Original Post) Bumperstickers Feb 2020 OP
Totally different mix of candidates, and none of them were in their respective campaigns.... George II Feb 2020 #1
Ok, leta see if your theory holds up as candidates drop out. Bumperstickers Feb 2020 #2
Besides, None Of Them Were Hiding Their Medical Reports Me. Feb 2020 #3
Uh ... Horizens Feb 2020 #4
3 candidates split the vote in 08 compared to 7 now Bumperstickers Feb 2020 #5
Neither Hillary nor Obama had run four years earlier and had a base of support to start CalFione Feb 2020 #6
+10000 ehrnst Feb 2020 #8
They don't forget. HerbChestnut Feb 2020 #7
 

George II

(67,782 posts)
1. Totally different mix of candidates, and none of them were in their respective campaigns....
Wed Feb 19, 2020, 04:59 PM
Feb 2020

...four years earlier (i.e., 2004) or lost half their 2004 support in 2008.

None went from 60% one year down to 25% four years later or 150,000 votes one year down to 75,000 four years later.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

Bumperstickers

(199 posts)
2. Ok, leta see if your theory holds up as candidates drop out.
Wed Feb 19, 2020, 05:02 PM
Feb 2020

I think it will not, but we shall see.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided
 

Me.

(35,454 posts)
3. Besides, None Of Them Were Hiding Their Medical Reports
Wed Feb 19, 2020, 05:02 PM
Feb 2020
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

Horizens

(637 posts)
4. Uh ...
Wed Feb 19, 2020, 05:11 PM
Feb 2020

56% is appreciably less that 75%.

Obama needed to turn 7% to attain a majority for him.
sanders needs to turn 26% to attain a majority for him.

And sanders has been running for 5 years. At this point Obama (still relatively unknown) had been runnig for 1 year.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

Bumperstickers

(199 posts)
5. 3 candidates split the vote in 08 compared to 7 now
Wed Feb 19, 2020, 05:20 PM
Feb 2020

According these theories going around Sanders should still have 75% against him as the field gets smaller. I disagree with that theory since multiple polls have Biden and Warren voters naming Sanders as their second choice.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided
 

CalFione

(571 posts)
6. Neither Hillary nor Obama had run four years earlier and had a base of support to start
Wed Feb 19, 2020, 06:18 PM
Feb 2020

Obama's was a GROWING movement, not a shrinking one (like Edwards in 2008 and Bernie in 2020).


If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

HerbChestnut

(3,649 posts)
7. They don't forget.
Wed Feb 19, 2020, 06:32 PM
Feb 2020

They're just trying to spin any possible thing to make Bernie look bad.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided
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