Poll: Trump edges out all top 2020 Democratic candidates except Sanders (THE HILL)

[BigBearJohn]

Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) is the only Democratic presidential contender to beat President Trump in a head-to-head match-up, according to a new Emerson College poll released Wednesday.

Sanders edges out Trump by a 51 percent-49 percent margin in the poll. Meanwhile, Trump leads former South Bend, Ind., Mayor Pete Buttigieg, Sen. Amy Klobuchar (D-Minn.) and former New York City Mayor Mike Bloomberg by 2 points. All those margins are within the poll’s margin of error of 2.7 percentage points.

Trump also leads former Vice President Joe Biden 52 percent-48 percent, an advantage outside the poll’s margin of error.

Support in the head-to-heads is sharply split along gender lines. Trump leads all five Democratic contenders by double digits among men, while every Democrat leads the president by double digits among women, except Biden, who has an 8-point edge.

The poll shows Trump with an above-water approval rating, with 48 percent of registered voters approving of the job he’s doing and 44 percent disapproving. His disapproval rate is the lowest it’s ever been in the Emerson College poll.

SOURCE: https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/483642-poll-trump-edges-out-all-top-2020-democratic-candidates-except-sanders

[OKNancy]

1. National poll?

Sure if you poll the big populations in California and New York. But no way would this translate to the electoral college.

[thesquanderer]

8. These numbers indicate Trump would win the EC vote by an even BIGGER amount,

if our candidate is not Sanders, since Trump will LOSE those big population states no matter what.

Put another way, it is very possible for Trump to win the electoral college but lose the popular vote (obviously). But it would be nearly impossible for him to win the popular vote but lose the EC. If he wins the popular vote (as this says he would against anyone other than Sanders), he is virtually certain to win the EC.

But I'm just talking about the math, not about whether I believe it. I'd have to see a lot more supporting polls before believing that there is some likelihood that Sanders would be our only candidate capable of beating Trump or our candidate most likely to beat him.

[secondwind]

2. I smell a Russian rat 🐀 at play here.

[jmg257]

3. I wonder if there is such a thing as a boxed exacta in russia.

[duforsure]

4. Another paid for poll

For trump like his lawyer said he does? I don't think any of the polls should be considered right as long as trump's in office.

[still_one]

6. +++

[still_one]

5. 48% could likely change their mind, and the environment is at the bottom of their list of priorities

and the economy is number one in this poll, and they favor Sanders slightly over trump?

Republicans, Democrats, and independents are all included in this poll, though the actual breakdown isn’t clear

48% can change their mind?

Something is wrong with this picture

[uponit7771]

7. Really?! A meaningless national poll ?! Really ?!

[dware]

9. ......

[David__77]

10. I would not be surprised if some thought that the respondents were literally in Moscow.

...

[andym]

11. Yikes-- a 2% lead nationally by Bernie is not enough to win the electoral college as Hillary learned

She won by 3%. We probably need 4-5%. Why is Trump polling so well? The economy?