Has there ever been an "outrage-du-jour" that actually hurt Bernie's numbers?

[DanTex]

Because anti-Bernie people on twitter must be getting some serious RSI from all their faux-outraged keyboard pounding. There was the Joe Rogan outrage, and the Bernie Bros outrage, and the "woman won't win" outrage, etc...

And now we've got the Russia outrage and the "establishment" outrage in the last 24 hours. And yet Bernie's climbed three points in the betting markets over the same time period.

Have any of the anti-Bernie outrage-du-jours every actually hurt him in polls or in any way? Is there any evidence that people beyond anti-Bernie twitter actually care about any of it?

[madville]

1. Bernie's support is locked in and

Bloomberg is only weakening the positions of everyone to Bernie's right.

[George II]

2. Do you understand how bookmakers and betting odds work?

[DanTex]

3. Yes. Actually I'm talking about markets, not bookies, but I understand how both work.

[oldsoftie]

9. We'll all see how markets work if & when Sanders becomes the Dem nominee.

Or if it looks like he beats trump.
I'll give you a hint: SELL.

[irisblue]

4. Is RSI repetive strain injury? Urban Dictionary isn't helping. The

[DanTex]

5. Yes.

[irisblue]

7. Thx, pretty sure it wasn't the respiratory therapy meaning. 🤨

[CalFione]

6. Considering he drastically underperformed his polls in both IA and NH..

...I would say yes.

The last polls in Iowa had him at 29 and his nearest competitor at 24. +5.

It ended 26-26.


In New Hampshire, his final polls had him up 30-23. +7.

It ended up 26-25.


So yes, when people actually vote... he underperforms his pre-vote polls.

[DanTex]

8. LOL. If only Bernie could manage a strong third-place, then he'd have a chance!

[CalFione]

11. The fact that late movers drastically move away from him is

negative momentum.

The opposite of a movement.


Undecideds flock away from him when forced to choose. Bad sign for November.

[jalan48]

10. Bernie's going after some of the 90+million eligible voters who didn't vote in 2016. It's a

brilliant strategy.

[CalFione]

12. In NH, Bernie came in third among first-time voters

He isn’t bringing new voters into the mix.

He just has a dedicated base of frequent voters that is less than 30% of the Party.

[jalan48]

13. This is about his recent "Democratic Establishment" comments. nt

[Squinch]

15. Hasn't he always claimed to be doing this? And have they ever shown up?

[jalan48]

17. I think his recent establishment statement was an outreach to these voters.

[ehrnst]

18. And will likely have the opposite effect on many self-described Democrats

Perhaps it's a hail mary, thinking that he won't get the self-described Democrats?

I just have to wonder what he was thinking when he sent that tweet...

[Squinch]

19. If so, it's a really, really dumb way to "outreach."

[jalan48]

21. Not really. My guess is that he's appealing to non-voters who want change and who see Centrist

Democrats as too invested in the status quo.

[beastie boy]

14. Yes. He lost to Hillary in '16. Most congressional candidates he endorsed in '18 lost.

His approval plummeted in March '19 when he announced he is filing as an Independent in the '24 race.

And it wasn't so much about anti-Bernie people pounding their keyboards. It was Bernie.

[Bonobo]

16. The tastiest tears are also the saltiest.

[Squinch]

20. Does 2018 count as an "outrage du jour?" Because almost no one he or

Our Revolution supported got elected in 2018.