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Joe BidenCongratulations to our presumptive Democratic nominee, Joe Biden!
 

kentuck

(111,089 posts)
Sat Feb 22, 2020, 06:43 PM Feb 2020

Bernie did very well in caucuses in 2016, also.

He has a very good ground game and is very well organized.

Unlike most of the other candidates, he goes in with a base of support. They turn out for a caucus.

But will they continue to turn out for the primary battles? South Carolina will be a real test for him next week.

There is no doubt but that he looks very strong right now, but we cannot forget that he did not do as well in Iowa as he may have expected. New Hampshire was a neighbor of his and he was expected to do well. Nevada is also a caucus state.

In my opinion, it is premature to think Bernie is going to continue at the rate he is going.

Just my opinion.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
5 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Bernie did very well in caucuses in 2016, also. (Original Post) kentuck Feb 2020 OP
He will if the "Not Bernie" vote keeps getting split 4 ways. HarlanPepper Feb 2020 #1
My thinking as well. It'll even out over time. apcalc Feb 2020 #2
Not in Nevada. DanTex Feb 2020 #3
Yep. See post #4 as to what's changed. Garrett78 Feb 2020 #5
The big difference is his incredible growth in support among POC and women. Garrett78 Feb 2020 #4
 

HarlanPepper

(2,042 posts)
1. He will if the "Not Bernie" vote keeps getting split 4 ways.
Sat Feb 22, 2020, 06:44 PM
Feb 2020
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

apcalc

(4,465 posts)
2. My thinking as well. It'll even out over time.
Sat Feb 22, 2020, 06:44 PM
Feb 2020
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

Garrett78

(10,721 posts)
5. Yep. See post #4 as to what's changed.
Sat Feb 22, 2020, 06:47 PM
Feb 2020
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided
 

Garrett78

(10,721 posts)
4. The big difference is his incredible growth in support among POC and women.
Sat Feb 22, 2020, 06:46 PM
Feb 2020

As someone at 538 pointed out, Latino voters haven't typically coalesced around a particular candidate. Latino voters, though, might be coalescing around Sanders, and that would be huge.

Anthony Mercado, a 48-year-old maintenance worker, explained Sanders’ appeal to Latinos to The New York Times: “We’re a community of struggle, and this is a man who knows struggle.. .. Latinos have been promised things and then the winds change. But he’s been saying the same things ever since he started.”


https://www.commondreams.org/views/2019/11/12/bernie-sanders-has-more-diverse-support-you-think
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided
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