Relax everbody. Sanders now has 26 delegates out of 1991 needed. 47 more states...

[brush]

and a few territories still have to vote. Biden is second in NV and will win SC that's coming up in a week. That will tighten the race and then comes SuperTuesday which should narrow it even more when the lagging candidates (so-called moderates) drop out and their support moves to probably Biden.

Again, relax. There's a long way to go.

[evertonfc]

1. Especially since Bernie is about to

getting a good vetting via Bloomberg.

[Cha]

15. Needs a good vetting.

[Kaleva]

2. +1

[Joinfortmill]

3. Yup, hang tight.

[Cal Carpenter]

4. That support isn't necessarily going to Biden

Just to be clear.

If you look at the First Round vs Second Round popular vote totals in Nevada at this link:
https://www.cnn.com/election/2020/state/nevada?xid=ec_btn_nevada

you'll see that Bernie is getting a higher proportion of the votes that came from Buttiegieg, Warren, Klobuchar and Steyer than Biden is.

Additionally, some national polls (eg Morning Consult's huge weekly tracking poll) are doing a "Second choice" question, and Sanders gets picked as second choice between 20% and 38% among supporters of the various other candidates.

Outside of DU and the cable news, I don't think most people see this as Bernie vs the Moderates. The polls, and the results so far, surely don't show it is the case.

I totally agree, though, that the picture will be much clearer after Super Tuesday, especially with Bloomberg being on the ballot. I am so curious to see how it will all shake out!

[wisteria]

39. It is a Caucus, all he numbers aren't in yet.

And, you gotta wonder how many people who voted were really Trump supporters. Bernie always wins Caucus ‘ and he has a long way to go.

[Catch2.2]

50. Are you saying

That Sanders won because Trump supporters voted for him??

[lapfog_1]

52. you never heard of operation chaos?

you think it was only one time thing?

[Catch2.2]

54. So you too

are saying that Sanders won tonight because Trump supporters voted for him?

[lapfog_1]

55. It's entirely possible

Trump WANTS Bernie to win the Democratic nomination... it should be obvious to everyone.

[Catch2.2]

59. And Hillary

was running a child sex ring out of a pizza parlor.

[calimary]

40. We might get a lot of clarity with the South Carolina primary.

THAT is what I’m waiting for.

By the, too, we’ll have had one more debate, and one last primary before Super Tuesday. That should show several things:
1) will Joe Biden be resurrected by the KEY voting group for Dems: black voters? Especially if he has any kind of good finish from Nevada. That would have to be second place. NOT 4th or 5th.
2) will Bernie prove that HE has legs with black voters?
3) will Amy Klobuchar and Elizabeth Warren again show sluggish numbers? Could count them out. Amy had a good night, two debates ago, but what started to go up went back down.
4) will Mayor Pete continue as an also-ran? He’d need a 1st or very strong 2nd finish to maintain his position as a player. Otherwise the momentum will go to somebody else.
5) will Bloomberg rebound after a poor showing in the Nevada debate? Will he learn from that and show he’s better-prepared in South Carolina? Is his Nevada debate disaster just a mulligan? Or is it the beginning of the end? He only gets one more shot, IMO.

Again, PERCEPTION matters. Perception is freakin’ EVERYTHING!!!

[Fiendish Thingy]

5. All the Nevada Delegates have yet to be assigned

He’s at 26 delegates with 4% reporting, he has 4 out of 41 Nevada delegates, and is projected to win over 50% of the vote today.

[jmg257]

6. He'll end up with well over 40 after tonight. Others might not get any.

[brush]

9. Biden will get some too and more in SC.

[jmg257]

11. Could be a couple tonight definitely in SC - polling in SC has them only a couple points a part,

[lady lib]

7. Okay, I'll calm down.

Thanks for helping me put things in perspective.

[sunnybrook]

8. It's nice to hear this

I needed a glimmer of hope. Of course the media already has this wrapped up and done with. Momentum comes from the media narrative. And momentum is going to come to Sanders because there is a sizable margin between him and the others. But it's really not over yet! So thank you for this post!

[brush]

12. c The media over-hypes it for sure.

[Cha]

17. Not only the media..

[McTwisty]

34. Since when have they overhyped Bernie?

Please, give me one example. He wins the last one, and the story is how getting 3rd is where you want to be.

[wisteria]

41. Consistently.

To the point that I won’t watch MSNBC.

[Garrett78]

64. You really can't be serious. MSNBC is incredibly anti-Sanders with few exceptions.

[brooklynite]

10. "Relax" is not the answer...

...the time remaining until Sper Tuesday does not allow for a lot of changes in momentum.

[brush]

13. So we should call get over anxious or over excited? No, relax and know there's a long way to go.

[brooklynite]

14. Nope, because there isn't...

Unless Biden radically changes his performance level (his margins in SC are dropping, there will be no radical change in Bernie’s status throughSuper Tuesday.

[brush]

16. Your opinion. Many southern states to go where Biden is strong. The race will tighten.

[brooklynite]

19. The last two SC polls had Biden only +2 or tied...

[brush]

20. SC is hardly the only southern state. For instance, a socialist is not winning Fla. with all the...

Cubans there.

[Bucky]

45. Most of the Cuban-Americans there are strong Republicans

And if they're so anti-socialist, how come they voted for Trump? His farm policies are pure government handout socialism

[brush]

48. Older ones are mostly repugs, true. Not so the younger ones. And with the AA vote, Sanders...

Last edited Sun Feb 23, 2020, 12:00 AM - Edit history (1)

cas a slim chance of winning Fla.

[Bucky]

53. God bless the Google

https://www.sun-sentinel.com/news/politics/fl-ne-cuban-american-poll-20190131-story.html

Lots of stats at the link.

The tldr is 56% to 19%
Older Cubans immigrants are 72% GOP and 11% Dem
US born Cuban Americans are 41R-28D - 29% Ind
Millennial Cuban-Americans are 35R-23D-40% Ind

Dems are 7% of those over 76.

[Cha]

18. Relax and remain

hyper vigilant!

And, Mahalo for your PSA!

[jimfields33]

22. Sanders will end up with at least 40 tonight by the end

[Cha]

23. Sorry.. not interested.

[McTwisty]

35. Vote blue, no matter who thought, right?

[Cha]

36. of course.

[wisteria]

43. I am a Moderate Democrat, Bernie doesn't like my opinions or my party

I will not be voting for him.

[Bucky]

46. Until November? Right?

I mean seriously, it's not like he'll have a socialist Congress to work with. I doubt he would get hard leftist legislation passed. But he would be able to restore our international alliances and in the worst of the Republicans' corruption.

A Sanders presidency will be a lot less fearful than you are imagining

[Demsrule86]

67. He has to be able to win a general....not happening.

[jimfields33]

47. I'm just happy the primary is finally getting somewhere

In three weeks we should be done with the drama.

[brush]

49. Thanks, Cha.

[Cha]

58. ..

[PatSeg]

21. Thanks for the perspective

I'd like to relax, but I'll be on pins and needles for awhile.

[mgcgulfcoast]

24. Relax?

Im in full Bernie mode and every day i want him to win more and more.

[Tweedy]

30. Good

Do you also want a democratic senate?

It is unclear if Bernie cares about such things, since he practices false equivalency with such glee.

Nonetheless, you are right in one very important way. Even though Senator Sanders will likely be able to get squat all done and he will probably complain about what democrats accomplish (assuming we can win the Senate with Bernie bashing democrats),

Bernie is not a sadist. That is much better than our current situation.

[helpisontheway]

25. No way to stop him with them splitting the vote. nt

[brush]

29. They're not going to all stay in. Remember, 1991 delegates needed.

Many southern states coming up were Biden is strong.

[Meowmee]

71. They need to drop out now

Two at least.

[Mme. Defarge]

26. Thanks, I needed that!

And this 🍸!

😘

[MontanaMama]

56. Me too.

Joining you on the 🍸.

[guillaumeb]

27. Recommended for the reminder.

26 out of 1991 is a tiny fraction. Less than 1% of the total.

[Tweedy]

28. Absolutely

And perhaps someone close to Senator Sanders can explain to him how false equivalency got us here in the first place.

[mysteryowl]

31. "Relax everybody"?

Many voters are very pleased with the results.

[brush]

32. And many are not.Still a long way to go.

[thesquanderer]

63. Exactly. This isn't the Biden group. Lots of us are plenty relaxed.

Sanders is not my first choice, but I still feel we can do perfectly well with him.

And if Biden had come in first tonight? I'd still be relaxed. We'd do fine with him too.

[yaesu]

33. I'm not complaining, Bernie will kick tRumps orange butt from here to prison. nt

[Demsrule86]

70. Iceish that were true.

[wisteria]

37. The news media needs to stop the pontificating.

They seem to be pushing Bernie.

[Claritie Pixie]

38. Bernie is polling first in TX and CA.

His trajectory is clearly on the rise with about 10 days until Super Tuesday.

[wisteria]

44. I don't care where Bernie is. I am pushing for Biden

[Demsrule86]

68. Me too.

[Hassin Bin Sober]

42. Yes. Relax.

[Stuart G]

51. K and R no text.

[cstanleytech]

57. I would advise that no one count their chickens before they are hatched as any of the candidates can

win the nomination in the end.
Regardless who wins though we need to give them our full support because if we fail to do that we will get at least 4 more years of that motherfucking shit stain that is currently President.

[brush]

60. I love this..."that motherfucking shit stain that is currently President."

[jcmaine72]

61. That's right, folks. Inhale, exhale. Inhale, exhale.....

It'll be okay. Trust me. Bernie will win and and the sky won't fall, only the orange tyrant in D.C. will.

So breathe, people, and feel the inner-peace that comes with the confidence of knowing Bernie will be great President for all Americans, especially those most in need.

[StocktonNative]

62. Bernie gets popular vote in third state primary.

This is the first Presidential Candidate to do that ever! EVER!

The 'Amendment King' is breaking down doors as a progressive! AMAZING!

[Demsrule86]

69. Oh if only the general was decided by popular vote...

It is the EC that will determine the winner.

[inwiththenew]

65. This is the same thing Republicans were saying 4 years ago

That Donald Trump only won a small percentage of the total in the first few primaries. The more Bernie wins the more momentum he's going to gain, much like Trump. 2016 saw Trump and his voters pull the rug out from underneath the Republican establishment. We might be witnessing the same thing now.

[brush]

66. What's your hurry? We'll know more after SC and SuperTuesday.