In the delegate counts, so far Bernie's won 1 state (NV), tied 1 (NH) and lost 1 (Iowa)

[pnwmom]

And his followers are declaring victory and saying the race is all but over.

Would Bernie have accepted that from the Hillary camp in 2016, when she won 2 out of the first 3 contests?

[RandiFan1290]

1. How's the Ebola outbreak going?

[House of Roberts]

2. Except Bernie got 25.7% in New Hampshire,

and Buttigieg only got 24.4%.

[pnwmom]

3. They tied in the delegate count. And the point is unchanged.

Hillary won 2/3 by voters or delegates, and yet no one was declaring victory after 3 little contests. She would have been a laughing-stock if she'd tried to.

[House of Roberts]

7. So your criteria being delegates, not voters,

Bernie didn't lose New Hampshire, he tied. Your title is still wrong.

[pnwmom]

9. I'd mixed up Iowa and NH. Thanks. I fixed the title. The point remains.

I don't understand why some people can't at least wait till Super Tuesday to see how things shake out.

It makes the millions of us who won't even vote till AFTER March 3 feel that much more redundant.

[Garrett78]

4. Well, NH was a tie. But that's beside the point. "Clear frontrunner" is not synonymous with...

...declaring victory.

The 538 crew can hardly be called Sanders followers, but this is their forecast: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-primary-forecast/.

A lot of folks seem to not understand how this works, that frontrunner status is not just about the current delegate total. There are other factors, such as polling aggregates and analysis of where support is coming from. For instance, do you think someone with almost no support from POC is viable in a race for the Democratic Party nomination? Answers to those types of questions matter.

[pnwmom]

5. Many Sanders supporters have been declaring victory. n/t

[Garrett78]

8. In various races, sure. But declaring victory as in "the primary is over?" Show me.

[pnwmom]

11. Here.

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2020/feb/23/after-bernie-sanders-landslide-nevada-win-its-time-for-democrats-to-unite-behind-him?fbclid=IwAR0KPc4oRokj0-dzq58xq464RuGeHo1ag0Jjckk2DLwHygUUo0Zwm1m90Gc

After Bernie Sanders' landslide Nevada win, it's time for Democrats to unite behind him

[Garrett78]

12. I thought you meant on DU.

Outside of DU, in a nation this big, you'll find an example of almost anything.

[thesquanderer]

13. I can do one better. There were Biden supporters declaring victory before the first primary.

And saying Sanders should withdraw.

Every campaign has its zealots.

[David__77]

6. I suppose candidates' supporters may spin information.

Certainly this thing is not done by any means.

[dualboy24]

10. Odds are in his favor currently

He won a clear victory in NV, along with the popular vote in the other two contests.

He is polling well with a +12.1% average. And He has already been through this processes in 2016 so there really is very little to toss at him that has not been tried before, the odds are he will be the nominee, and he has really attached himself to popular topics for the average voter.

Of course the number of candidates is helping to fragment those more to the right, which really helps.

The odds would of course change if everyone but say Biden drops out, as it would really force people to consolidate their votes and we would probably see something akin to 2016.

I don't think Bloomberg is really a serious contender considering his past debate performance, that he is canceling town-halls, and the fact that he has made so many critical mistakes, and said so many questionable things in his past.

[Spider Jerusalem]

14. Sanders has 45% of all delegates awarded so far; his nearest rival has 25%.

Those are the numbers that matter, not how many states have been won or tied.

[pnwmom]

15. So? They were all small contests and 2/3 of them were caucuses.

It's ridiculous to draw any conclusions before Super Tuesday, and then we'll see how things shake out.

[Spider Jerusalem]

16. Sanders is projected to win most of the Super Tuesday states including the 2 with the most delegates

There's no reason to expect that he won't continue to lead after that, barring some sudden and unexpected reversal.