Democratic Primaries

left-of-center2012

(34,195 posts) Tue Feb 25, 2020, 03:05 PM Feb 2020

Latest 538 S.C. poll

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-primary-d/south-carolina/

Biden 30.3
Sanders 22.8
Steyer 12.9
Bloomberg 10.0
Buttigieg 8.4
Warren 8.3
Klobuchar 4.2
Gabbard 3.2

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

9 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

Latest 538 S.C. poll (Original Post) left-of-center2012 Feb 2020 OP

well, now the MSM is saying that Biden needs a double digit win lapfog_1 Feb 2020 #1

I think Biden will definitely win SC especially with Clyburn's help. Bernie will be second. Nanjeanne Feb 2020 #2

he got that percentage of DELEGATES lapfog_1 Feb 2020 #3

Right sorry - his total VOTES was a measly 40.5% or 41,075 so his total was more than the 2nd and Nanjeanne Feb 2020 #5

46.8 is more impressive than 40.5 lapfog_1 Feb 2020 #6

40.5 is pretty impressive since it's bigger than the next 2 combined. And Nanjeanne Feb 2020 #7

Bloomberg is not on the ballot so Biden should get most of his 10% share. brush Feb 2020 #4

Exactly this. Mike 03 Feb 2020 #8

Why are they asking about Bloomberg Codeine Feb 2020 #9

lapfog_1

(29,199 posts)

1. well, now the MSM is saying that Biden needs a double digit win

Reply to left-of-center2012 (Original post)

Tue Feb 25, 2020, 03:15 PM

Feb 2020

in SC for him to stop the Bernie express.

Interesting when you consider the actual vote totals now coming out of Nevada... yes, Bernie won, but not by the margin that the delegate count would have you believe.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Nanjeanne

(4,950 posts)

2. I think Biden will definitely win SC especially with Clyburn's help. Bernie will be second.

Reply to lapfog_1 (Reply #1)

Tue Feb 25, 2020, 03:19 PM

Feb 2020

But I'm confused about your statement re Nevada. Are you saying that the 46.8% of the votes that Bernie got isn't a huge margin - when it's higher than the 2nd, 3rd and 4th place finishers COMBINED? Odd take.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

lapfog_1

(29,199 posts)

3. he got that percentage of DELEGATES

Reply to Nanjeanne (Reply #2)

Tue Feb 25, 2020, 03:42 PM

Feb 2020

the raw "vote" percentage was lower.

OTOH, you should tout the "second choice numbers" where Bernie really shined in NV.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Nanjeanne

(4,950 posts)

5. Right sorry - his total VOTES was a measly 40.5% or 41,075 so his total was more than the 2nd and

Reply to lapfog_1 (Reply #3)

Tue Feb 25, 2020, 03:49 PM

Feb 2020

3rd combined - and 7,000 less than 2, 3 and 4th combined. And his "first choice numbers" are also higher than the 2nd and 3rd choices combined.

Not impressive at all. I get your point.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

lapfog_1

(29,199 posts)

6. 46.8 is more impressive than 40.5

Reply to Nanjeanne (Reply #5)

Tue Feb 25, 2020, 04:43 PM

Feb 2020

and the revised numbers may well be 37.8.

but I did say that Bernie won... nobody is arguing that. But the win was not as overwhelming as his supporters are claiming.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Nanjeanne

(4,950 posts)

7. 40.5 is pretty impressive since it's bigger than the next 2 combined. And

Reply to lapfog_1 (Reply #6)

Tue Feb 25, 2020, 04:49 PM

Feb 2020

I'm a supporter and I think it's huge to have more votes than the next 2 especially in a large field. But you don't - get it. Opinions are a dime a dozen - yours and mine.

And let's talk again when it goes down to 37.8. Meanwhile, what does that even mean? It could go down to Zero and Daffy Duck could be President.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided