Sanders leads by 17 Points in the Democratic Primary in California

[peoli]

Change Research/ KQED California Poll: February 20-23, 2020


Key Takeaways:

Bernie Sanders (37%) has consolidated his lead in the Democratic primary, followed by Warren (20%), Biden (12%), Buttigieg (11%), and Bloomberg (6%).

Sanders leads among all age groups. His lead is smallest among voters 50 to 64 years old and 65 years and older; he leads Warren by 5 points and 10 points respectively in these age groups.

Sanders has a significant lead among non-white Democratic primary voters. Among Latinx voters, 42% support Sanders, followed by Biden and Buttigieg, both with 13%


https://www.changeresearch.com/post/democratic-primary-california-kqed-poll-february

[Walleye]

1. California, please think. trump hates your state. He want to run against Bernie

[peoli]

6. Trump has zero chance of winning California

[Walleye]

10. But a good chance of winning Pa. Va. Fla.

[Walleye]

11. We have to win the Electoral College

[peoli]

13. Sanders up in Penn and Virginia

[booley]

9. Or republicans are concern Trolling

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_sanders-6250.html

[Fiendish Thingy]

2. And yet the moderates still refuse to coalesce around a single candidate

After Super Tuesday, Sanders will likely have an insurmountable delegate lead.

Dreams of a moderate being selected at a brokered convention are just that, dreams...

[Laelth]

3. The scenario you describe seems highly probable at this point. n/t

-Laelth

[Fiendish Thingy]

4. A brokered convention may be likely

But if the Dems select someone other than the delegate leader, in David Plouffe’s (Obama’s chief strategist) words, it would take “a generation” for the party to recover from that error.

[peoli]

7. That's a great quote and probably true

[Laelth]

8. I don't think I agree with Plouffe on that.

If you had asked me a couple of weeks ago, I would have told you that I thought a brokered convention was very likely.

Today, I think that there's a higher chance of Bernie walking into the convention with a majority of delegates.

Super Tuesday will tell us a lot, but I am expecting Bernie to clean house.

For better or for worse.



-Laelth

[McKim]

5. I Wish Moderates Would Coalesce Around Warren

I wish Moderates would coalesce around Warren. She is so well informed and has a great set of ideas for how to carry out her platform. I would vote very reluctantly for Biden. I will not forget how he actively supported the War on Iraq and then he voted for it. The trillions of dollars wasted on this. And the million Iraqis who died (according to The Lancet). This is rather a big mistake.

[Walleye]

12. Do you think that Biden would get us into a war?