BTRTN: Four Theories of the Race: Something Old, Something New, Something Borrowed, Something New

[reggieandlee]

Born To Run The Numbers lays out a range of different theories that attempt to explain how candidates ultimately gain their party's nomination. BTRTN then examines the strategies and assumptions of the current candidates on this framework, to provide a sense for how different candidates can prevail, and then how they would campaign against Trump. These theories range from &quot 1)woo the swing voters," &quot 2) it's not who's running, it is who is voting," &quot 3) motivate the base, not the middle," to &quot 4) It's the economy, stupid."

http://www.borntorunthenumbers.com/2020/02/btrtn-four-theories-of-presidential.html

Excerpts: "As Democrats ponder the potential candidacy of Bernie Sanders in November, feeling either euphoria or despair (depending on your 'lane'), it may be an opportune time to review various 'theories of the race.' No matter where you stand within the Democratic Party, you should be able to find comfort in at least one of these theories, if you buy it.

By the time the Democratic convention in July is over, Democrats will be wedded to the candidate of our collective choice. In the matrimonial spirit, I thus offer you four distinct theories -- something old, something new, something borrowed and something blue..."

[empedocles]

1. Seems that one theory is about BS. The other three theories pretty much

apply to everyone else.

Hmmmm.

[tgards79]

2. They are theories

Frameworks for thinking about the election. Keeping score on how many of them work for a single candidate is not the point.