Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

Democratic Primaries

applegrove

(118,874 posts) Thu Feb 27, 2020, 05:00 PM Feb 2020

6

Be Wary of South Carolina Polls

Be Wary of South Carolina Polls

February 27, 2020 at 2:27 pm EST By Taegan Goddard 105 Comments

https://politicalwire.com/2020/02/27/be-wary-of-south-carolina-polls/

"SNIP.....

First Read urges some caution about South Carolina polling, noting it often under-rates the candidate with support from older black voters.

In 2008, the final poll margin showed Barack Obama up by 12 points, while the actual margin was Obama ahead by 29 points.

In 2016, the final poll had Hillary Clinton up by 28 points, while the actual margin was Clinton ahead by 48 points.

If that holds this year, Joe Biden could win by a much larger margin than current polls show.

......SNIP"

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

3 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

Be Wary of South Carolina Polls (Original Post) applegrove Feb 2020 OP

Or any of the candidates could beat him, or... Jirel Feb 2020 #1

everybody loves polls that show their favorite ahead lol nt msongs Feb 2020 #2

After 2016 polls are meaningless to me Moderateguy Feb 2020 #3

Jirel

(2,028 posts)

1. Or any of the candidates could beat him, or...

Reply to applegrove (Original post)

Thu Feb 27, 2020, 05:20 PM

Feb 2020

All it means is that the polls are horribly inaccurate. I wouldn't make any judgment that Biden is likely a bigger frontrunner, based on that.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

msongs

(67,475 posts)

2. everybody loves polls that show their favorite ahead lol nt

Reply to applegrove (Original post)

Thu Feb 27, 2020, 05:44 PM

Feb 2020

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Moderateguy

(945 posts)

3. After 2016 polls are meaningless to me

Reply to applegrove (Original post)

Thu Feb 27, 2020, 06:37 PM

Feb 2020

Too many opportunities for shenanigans

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

Reply to this discussion

Latest Discussions»Retired Forums»Democratic Primaries»Be Wary of South Carolina...