Democratic Primaries
Related: About this forumThere will be no brokered convention
The news media pushes this every 4 years but it never happens. The convention won't go beyond a first vote. None have since the 50s.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
msongs
(67,394 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
PatSeg
(47,370 posts)these days than anything we've ever seen before. After Trump, I'm thinking anything is possible.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Dem4Life1102
(3,974 posts)makes a deal with the 3rd and/or 4th place candidates and they direct their delegates to vote for one of the leaders.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Moderateguy
(945 posts)Pledged delegates mean they are pledged to their candidate on the 1st ballot.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Dem4Life1102
(3,974 posts)to vote their conscience or direct them to vote for someone else.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Bucky
(53,986 posts)First off, getting a majority from the diverse Democratic delegations on the first ballot is not a measurement skill, but of popularity and the popularity of a candidates ideas
Second off, working a convention and winning coalitions is it extremely important political ability. So if anything, getting nominated off the second ballot would reveal a very real and critical skillset that a candidate needs to govern.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
AGeddy
(509 posts)Or a billionaire with unlimited funds throwing himself into the race.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Dem4Life1102
(3,974 posts)with the GOP convention. Didn't happen.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
AGeddy
(509 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Dem4Life1102
(3,974 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
AGeddy
(509 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Dem4Life1102
(3,974 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
empedocles
(15,751 posts)Like with the many Dem candidates over the last year or so. So many 'surges', so many 'fizzles'.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
First Speaker
(4,858 posts)...a brokered convention would be unusual and sensational. The media class would reach for the smelling salts, at messy, smelly democracy breaking out. But when you consider how many things the past five years that "couldn't" happen have happened...a convention going past the first ballot wouldn't even make the top ten list.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Dem4Life1102
(3,974 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Laelth
(32,017 posts)The Titanic was unsinkable ... until it sank.
-Laelth
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
The Velveteen Ocelot
(115,661 posts)Weird things can happen in weird years.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
HarlanPepper
(2,042 posts)We should all probably get out of the prediction business.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
The_Counsel
(1,660 posts)Until '68 EVERY convention was brokered to some extent. Since then, virtually none of them are. The '76 GOP Convention was the last one that was even in doubt after Day One--and that one involved the sitting President....
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
thesquanderer
(11,982 posts)But who do you think will get enough delegates to get the nomination on the first vote?
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Dem4Life1102
(3,974 posts)But Ive seen the idea of a convention going past a first ballot too many times to take it seriously.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
totodeinhere
(13,058 posts)place but not quite a majority. If that happens then one or more of the also ran candidates would probably withdraw and endorse the front runner putting him over the top. They would do this in the interest of party unity knowing that only a united party can beat Trump.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Moderateguy
(945 posts)Even if you withdraw, drop dead and or diagnosed as patient zero for the coronavirus
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
totodeinhere
(13,058 posts)Of course the released delegates would not have to follow the lead of the withdrawing candidate and go for the front runner but many probably would.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Moderateguy
(945 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Dem4Life1102
(3,974 posts)at all. All candidates can release their delegates before the first ballot.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
democrattotheend
(11,605 posts)This is the first convention under the new rules, so I don't know that much about how it works.
Despite what she said last night, I could potentially see Elizabeth Warren releasing her delegates if it comes to that, knowing some of them might go to Bernie if she has no chance. But it depends how well Bernie is doing in polls against Trump at that point. If it looks like he might win, she could be the hero and potentially a big influence in his administration if she does that. If it looks like another 1972, she'll probably want to stay in the favor of the party establishment that is eager to take back over after November.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Dem4Life1102
(3,974 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Bucky
(53,986 posts)I think after next Tuesday we'll know who those two are. Almost certainly Joe & Bernie. And Biden is probably the one candidate Sanders can beat one on one.
But you're right, it'll be resolved before the first ballot. I'll be surprised if it's not all resolved by the end of May
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
honest.abe
(8,659 posts)Bloomberg is the wildcard. It all depends how much support he pulls from Biden and how hard he hits Sanders with his ads.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Aaron Pereira
(383 posts)Bernie and his supporters can control that part so that's where the focus should be.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided