Warren at risk of losing her home state

[brooklynite]

Politico

Bernie Sanders is outpacing Elizabeth Warren in polls across the Super Tuesday map. But one state stings more than the others: Massachusetts.

Warren is at risk of losing her home state, the latest indignity in her long slide in the polls in her own backyard. As recently as October, the two-term senator held a 20-percentage point lead over Sanders, according to a WBUR poll. In the latest version of the poll, released Friday, she trailed him by 8 points.

Now, in the run-up to the March 3 primary, Sanders is going all in on his bid to pick off Massachusetts, culminating in a four-day music and canvassing festival in Worcester that begins Friday.

"The trajectory for both Warren and Sanders follows national trends. October was the peak for Warren nationally as well, while Sanders is gaining everywhere lately. Looking inside the numbers, it's young voters who are strong for Sanders in a really unique way. We saw that also in the Iowa and New Hampshire results, where nearly half the voters under age 30 were for Sanders in each state. So I don't think this is unique to Massachusetts," said Steve Koczela, president of the MassINC Polling Group, which conducted the polls.

Meanwhile, Klobuchar is boosting her ad buys in.....Minnesota.

[thesquanderer]

1. I think the emphasis on "winning" or "losing" a state is unfortunate.

With proportional delegate allocation, if Warren and Sanders come in 1st and 2nd within a couple of points of each other, they'll end up with the same number of delegates, which is what matters. But the bragging rights of who won is going to get the play, even though it's irrelevant to the process.

Same with Amy in Minnesota.

[Baclava]

2. Liz just said she's staying in to the convention, VP must be a major consideration now

[Blue_Adept]

3. She can't be thinking that. Two Northeast liberals? That's like going into Dukakis territory for the

general election.

[Baclava]

4. Geography is overrated when it comes to ideology, she can easily carry Bernies progressive banner

[Blue_Adept]

5. Putting two whiter than white northeast super-liberals on the ticket is asking to lose the election

[squirecam]

6. This

Nt

[Baclava]

10. Putting together the two strongest enthusiastic supporters bases will make headlines everywhere

What was that saying......Stronger, Together?

[Blue_Adept]

11. Nope. There's reasons that it doesn't happen this way and hasn't since we were a smaller country.

It won't happen this time either. If either of them takes the top spot, they'll have to go for something far different from themselves for a running mate to secure the REST of the base, not the same thing that they both largely have.

[Baclava]

12. The REST of the base is WOMEN! 51% of the voting public in the country!

[thesquanderer]

13. Tell that to Clinton+Gore. Or Bush+Cheney. (n/t)

[AGeddy]

7. If she stays in until the convention, it will have a limiting effect on Bernie's delegate count

In fact, she might be the only one that keeps Bernie from a clean sweep of California's delegates.



For that, I hope she manages to stay in a long time.

[squirecam]

8. Maybe

She could also stop those who would also vote for Biden.

After Super Tuesday only Biden and Sanders can win a majority. The others should let them go 1 v 1 and determine the nomination.

[BusyBeingBest]

9. Wonder why this is.