A new approach to political forecasting...

[brooklynite]

Link to tweet

[Moderateguy]

1. It would be interesting if this actually happens...

I do not trust polls anyways and this will be another nail in their coffin

[BusyBeingBest]

2. Sorry, I don't see this happening. I think they're undercounting

the older black vote, as has happened in the past.

[Cal Carpenter]

8. I think the only way Bernie wins

Is if black voters under 50 turn out in much higher numbers than expected.

Very skeptical of the theory in the OP.

[Peacetrain]

3. Not too sure about this one.. because

If you are going by endorsements.. that would be Joe

Cash on Hand...Gotta be Mike

Twitter mentions... I guess that would be Bernie.. (do they count both positive and negative)

[BusyBeingBest]

4. I think this is just referring to South Carolina. (SC)

[Peacetrain]

5. Re read.. you are right! Thanks...

You know I might just bookmark this one to see how it plays out..

[MisterFred]

6. Seems unlikely. Use of twitter in particular is questionable. nt

[Cal Carpenter]

7. Count me skeptical

Depending on what level of endorsement (eg Activist leader? US Rep? Union? Newspaper? Random twitter-famous person?) I imagine that's hard to get scientific about....

I'd love to see Sanders win SC but I highly doubt it will happen.

[Baclava]

9. I imagine a hard cold rain the evening of the vote would have more effect, scientifically speaking