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Democratic Primaries

brooklynite

(94,333 posts) Fri Feb 28, 2020, 03:33 PM Feb 2020

0

A new approach to political forecasting...

Link to tweet

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

9 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

A new approach to political forecasting... (Original Post) brooklynite Feb 2020 OP

It would be interesting if this actually happens... Moderateguy Feb 2020 #1

Sorry, I don't see this happening. I think they're undercounting BusyBeingBest Feb 2020 #2

I think the only way Bernie wins Cal Carpenter Feb 2020 #8

Not too sure about this one.. because Peacetrain Feb 2020 #3

I think this is just referring to South Carolina. (SC) BusyBeingBest Feb 2020 #4

Re read.. you are right! Thanks... Peacetrain Feb 2020 #5

Seems unlikely. Use of twitter in particular is questionable. nt MisterFred Feb 2020 #6

Count me skeptical Cal Carpenter Feb 2020 #7

I imagine a hard cold rain the evening of the vote would have more effect, scientifically speaking Baclava Feb 2020 #9

Moderateguy

(945 posts)

1. It would be interesting if this actually happens...

Reply to brooklynite (Original post)

Fri Feb 28, 2020, 03:34 PM

Feb 2020

I do not trust polls anyways and this will be another nail in their coffin

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

BusyBeingBest

(8,052 posts)

2. Sorry, I don't see this happening. I think they're undercounting

Reply to brooklynite (Original post)

Fri Feb 28, 2020, 03:34 PM

Feb 2020

the older black vote, as has happened in the past.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

Cal Carpenter

(4,959 posts)

8. I think the only way Bernie wins

Reply to BusyBeingBest (Reply #2)

Fri Feb 28, 2020, 05:36 PM

Feb 2020

Is if black voters under 50 turn out in much higher numbers than expected.

Very skeptical of the theory in the OP.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

Peacetrain

(22,872 posts)

3. Not too sure about this one.. because

Reply to brooklynite (Original post)

Fri Feb 28, 2020, 03:36 PM

Feb 2020

If you are going by endorsements.. that would be Joe

Cash on Hand...Gotta be Mike

Twitter mentions... I guess that would be Bernie.. (do they count both positive and negative)

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

BusyBeingBest

(8,052 posts)

4. I think this is just referring to South Carolina. (SC)

Reply to Peacetrain (Reply #3)

Fri Feb 28, 2020, 03:37 PM

Feb 2020

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

Peacetrain

(22,872 posts)

5. Re read.. you are right! Thanks...

Reply to BusyBeingBest (Reply #4)

Fri Feb 28, 2020, 03:39 PM

Feb 2020

You know I might just bookmark this one to see how it plays out..

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

MisterFred

(525 posts)

6. Seems unlikely. Use of twitter in particular is questionable. nt

Reply to brooklynite (Original post)

Fri Feb 28, 2020, 03:40 PM

Feb 2020

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

Cal Carpenter

(4,959 posts)

7. Count me skeptical

Reply to brooklynite (Original post)

Fri Feb 28, 2020, 05:31 PM

Feb 2020

Depending on what level of endorsement (eg Activist leader? US Rep? Union? Newspaper? Random twitter-famous person?) I imagine that's hard to get scientific about....

I'd love to see Sanders win SC but I highly doubt it will happen.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

Baclava

(12,047 posts)

9. I imagine a hard cold rain the evening of the vote would have more effect, scientifically speaking

Reply to brooklynite (Original post)

Fri Feb 28, 2020, 05:52 PM

Feb 2020

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

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