Poll Shows Biden Stronger In 10 Battleground States

[applegrove]

Poll Shows Biden Stronger In 10 Battleground States

February 28, 2020 at 4:31 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

https://politicalwire.com/2020/02/28/poll-shows-biden-stronger-in-10-battleground-states/

"SNIP.....

A new Yahoo News/YouGov poll suggests that Bernie Sanders could be a riskier nominee than his supporters are willing to admit. In a national trial heat with President Trump, Sanders led 48% to 42% among registered voters. Yet when the playing field was narrowed to the 10 states that were closest in the 2016 presidential election and that will likely decide 2020 — Michigan, New Hampshire, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Florida, Minnesota, Nevada, Maine, North Carolina and Arizona — Sanders’s lead over Trump was slashed in half (48% to 45%). That 3-point gap was within the margin of error.

In contrast, Joe Biden led Trump by 9 points nationally (50% to 41%) and by 7 points (50% to 43%) in the battleground states.

Both Elizabeth Warren (47% to 45%) and Pete Buttigieg (46% to 44%) performed about as well as Sanders in the battleground states. The weakest performer was Michael Bloomberg (43% to 43%).

.......SNIP"

[Squinch]

1. This is pretty much my deciding factor. If Joe can watch his words

for the next few weeks, and not stumble into any unforced errors, he will be my primary pick.

[LS_Editor]

18. Wow. Just wow.

[Squinch]

19. That's informative.

[LS_Editor]

21. As well as concise.

[Squinch]

22. If you have something to say, why not say it? If you don't, why say anything?

[LS_Editor]

24. I've said it.

[InAbLuEsTaTe]

31. !!!

Bernie/Elizabeth or Elizabeth/Bernie 2020!!
Either way, they're stronger together & can't be bought!!
Jump on the Bernie Bandwagon & join The Revolution!!

[Cha]

2. KR

[RandySF]

3. Bottom line

How hig a risk are you willing to take on the most important election our lives?

[bucolic_frolic]

4. You sail with the most seaworthy ship

You want to complete the journey. No sense in going with something that isn't copper bottom.

[Laura PourMeADrink]

11. We'll put! Very poetic

[FailureToCommunicate]

15. Splendidly stated!

(The USS Constitution... copper clad)

[gollygee]

34. Yup

The stakes are too high to take chances with someone who won't make it.

[Sloumeau]

5. K&R

[rockfordfile]

6. Sander's lead slashed in half

[Qutzupalotl]

7. We need to factor in suppression efforts

(caging, purging, microtargeting, etc.) and pick a nominee who wins by the widest margins. There’s a reason Trump was willing to be impeached to try to sink Biden, and why they had to make up stuff about him rather than rely on facts. They are terrified of losing to him.

I saw a poll today that had Biden up by a point over Trump in Texas. Texas! I’m not saying it will hold until election day, but imagine making Republicans have to spend money to save Texas.

[Mike 03]

8. Yes, I saw that Texas poll too.

For Texas, the numbers were impressive.

[Laura PourMeADrink]

12. If he picked Beto...we could win TX imho

[TexasTowelie]

29. I've been thinking that all along,

but the idea of having two white males on the ticket doesn't sell well on DU. We need to pick the best candidates and I have a lot of respect for Beto's views on foreign policy and military affairs. If something did happen to Biden while he was president, I'm confident that Beto could step into the role and lead.

[Laura PourMeADrink]

32. Do you think his saying that we would come for guns

Set him back? I know right wingers who heard that loud and clear. I applauded him for his passion to automatically speak up for what is right. It confirmed what I already knew - he's the real deal.

[TexasTowelie]

33. I doubt that it had much impact.

Those that spoke up about it weren't going to support him anyhow.

[Laura PourMeADrink]

35. That's true. But I felt with his game plan of listening to

everyone and treating them with respect had him on an uphill trajectory. Then came the Cruz FB smears. Like no one thought bad until then. And the gun comment solidified it all.

As Texas becomes more liberal in the next cycle hopefully, this all won't matter. I was just disappointed that we had a spokesman for decency and the truth and then it all fell apart.

Biden is up one in Dipshit matchup in TX. Like that matters once trump unleashes his fake dirt.

[Qutzupalotl]

41. My non-Texan blind guess is it could hurt him a little with

a segment those disaffected gun-owning Republicans who are leaning towards voting Joe. But I can’t gauge the turnout boost Beto would give the ticket vs. the diminishment of the crossover vote.

A lot of people are suggesting Kamala Harris, and with her background as a prosecutor, that might play a little better with crossovers. But again, I can’t gauge the level of quiet racist resentment that might dissuade Texans from her. Overall she seems like more of a positive, but I’m in Oregon so WTF do I know.

If we do manage to turn Texas blue, it would be a game-changer. Trump would have no path to victory. If he has coattails maybe we could fix the gerrymandering and voter suppression problems there.

[Gothmog]

9. Joe Biden has the strongest lead over Donald Trump among registered voters in battleground states.

Link to tweet

[ashredux]

10. This is simple......Bernie can NOT win a general election against Trump. (mike drop)

[Skittles]

25. and even if he DID win we would still have...

well, you know

[Laura PourMeADrink]

36. Ding ding ding. Not rocket science...but 1/2 Dems don't get it.

[bronxiteforever]

13. Kick and recommend.

[disndat]

14. Why did Trump risked impeachment

to get the Pres. of Ukraine to get the dirt on the Bidens?

[johnthewoodworker]

16. I'll support our candidate. Whomever it is.

[Karadeniz]

17. I love every single one of them and would support any of them. I hope, that when push comes to

Shove, they all agree to support the one who can best beat Trump. I feel terrible for both Sanders and Warren. I'm past ready for progress. But if we all have to wait to stop this march towards dictatorship, so be it.

[Laura PourMeADrink]

37. +1 "This march toward dictatorship"

[Fiendish Thingy]

20. Aggregate polls of battle ground states are useless

You need to look at each state individually, as in some battleground states, all Dems have significant leads over Trump. Averaging support across 10 states dilutes the margins of states where Dems are winning big, and exaggerates leads where Dems are weakest.

Regardless of who the nominee is, unless a recession/corona virus severely damage Trump’s support, the general election will come down to Wisconsin and a couple of other states, perhaps PA. Depending on who the nominee is, we may be surprised to see some unexpected states come into play.

[Laura PourMeADrink]

38. Good point.

[highplainsdem]

23. K&R

[Kurt V.]

26. there aren't ten battleground states.

[Laura PourMeADrink]

39. Which one(s) isn't?

Michigan, New Hampshire, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Florida, Minnesota, Nevada, Maine, North Carolina and Arizona —

[Kurt V.]

42. Florida. NC. Arizona. are. and possible Iowa. by my very unofficial count.

[tman]

27. I fear it's too late.

And Bernie will rip the party apart if this goes to the convention.

It's going to be a long summer.

[applegrove]

30. I think want to be rid of Trump will 'trump' people angry Bernie didn't

win the nomination, if he gets a plurality but not a majority in the first round of voting. Biden is likeable. Trump is not.

[mvd]

40. I haven't ruled out..

voting for Biden if he is the overwhelming favorite to beat Trump. This poll is not to that level, but repeated polls would get my attention. I plan on voting for Sanders or Warren if Warren has a big surge.

[Gothmog]

43. Joe Biden is the party's strongest general election candidate

Link to tweet