Democratic Primaries

DemocratSinceBirth

(102,012 posts) Fri Feb 28, 2020, 07:26 PM Feb 2020

By how large a margin do you think Joe Biden will win the South Carolina primary

18 votes, 0 passes \| Time left: Unlimited
	Less than 1%
	1 (6%)
	1% -5%
	1 (6%)
	6-10%
	4 (22%)
	11-15%
	2 (11%)
	16-20%
	4 (22%)
	20% or more
	4 (22%)
	Somebody else will win
	2 (11%)
	0 DU members did not wish to select any of the options provided.
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If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

11 replies

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By how large a margin do you think Joe Biden will win the South Carolina primary (Original Post) DemocratSinceBirth Feb 2020 OP

I won't make any predictions because anything can happen, but I obviously hope it is a blowout still_one Feb 2020 #1

with the wild variances in polling i've been seeing it's impossible to say ibegurpard Feb 2020 #2

That is some high bar for JB with all those other moderates running empedocles Feb 2020 #4

I'm just guessing he's going to need a big win to counteract ibegurpard Feb 2020 #5

Operation Chaos is going to fuck his margin up. Codeine Feb 2020 #3

its an up or down race, could go either way juxtaposed Feb 2020 #6

I allowed my optimism to rule my vote and picked 6-10% Cal Carpenter Feb 2020 #7

I am a bit skeptical right now... Moderateguy Feb 2020 #8

We'll see... DemocratSinceBirth Feb 2020 #9

20-25% margin of victory for Biden... TTUBatfan2008 Feb 2020 #10

Kick Mike 03 Feb 2020 #11

still_one

(98,883 posts)

1. I won't make any predictions because anything can happen, but I obviously hope it is a blowout

Reply to DemocratSinceBirth (Original post)

Fri Feb 28, 2020, 07:29 PM

Feb 2020

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

ibegurpard

(17,081 posts)

2. with the wild variances in polling i've been seeing it's impossible to say

Reply to DemocratSinceBirth (Original post)

Fri Feb 28, 2020, 07:32 PM

Feb 2020

He really needs to a blowout to get a momentum narrative... and by blowout I'm thinking 20 plus percentage points.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

empedocles

(15,751 posts)

4. That is some high bar for JB with all those other moderates running

Reply to ibegurpard (Reply #2)

Fri Feb 28, 2020, 07:41 PM

Feb 2020

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

ibegurpard

(17,081 posts)

5. I'm just guessing he's going to need a big win to counteract

Reply to empedocles (Reply #4)

Fri Feb 28, 2020, 07:45 PM

Feb 2020

what appears to be on the horizon for Super Tuesday. We'll see.
Honestly I'm hoping he does really well because I don't see a path for Warren and he's the only moderate in the race who I see as viable.
Sanders is my second choice but so many people hate his guts that he worries me.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

Codeine

(25,586 posts)

3. Operation Chaos is going to fuck his margin up.

Reply to DemocratSinceBirth (Original post)

Fri Feb 28, 2020, 07:32 PM

Feb 2020

But I’m sure the fact that the Trumpublicans are supporting Bernie is nothing to worry about. This is fine.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

juxtaposed

(2,778 posts)

6. its an up or down race, could go either way

Reply to DemocratSinceBirth (Original post)

Fri Feb 28, 2020, 07:46 PM

Feb 2020

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

Cal Carpenter

(4,959 posts)

7. I allowed my optimism to rule my vote and picked 6-10%

Reply to DemocratSinceBirth (Original post)

Fri Feb 28, 2020, 07:55 PM

Feb 2020

but I'd be surprised if it wasn't a little bigger...

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

Moderateguy

(945 posts)

8. I am a bit skeptical right now...

Reply to DemocratSinceBirth (Original post)

Fri Feb 28, 2020, 08:02 PM

Feb 2020

I think the margin will be small at best. I hope to God I am wrong about that

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

DemocratSinceBirth

(102,012 posts)

9. We'll see...

Reply to Moderateguy (Reply #8)

Sat Feb 29, 2020, 06:49 PM

Feb 2020

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

TTUBatfan2008

(3,623 posts)

10. 20-25% margin of victory for Biden...

Reply to DemocratSinceBirth (Original post)

Sat Feb 29, 2020, 06:50 PM

Feb 2020

Exit polling seems very, very strong for Biden. 47% said that the Clyburn endorsement mattered a lot to them.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Mike 03

(18,690 posts)

11. Kick

Reply to DemocratSinceBirth (Original post)

Sat Feb 29, 2020, 07:29 PM

Feb 2020

We may get the answer soon.

I voted for 11-15%, thinking it would be 15%ish, but I'm hoping it's higher.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

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