Democratic Primaries

AGeddy

(509 posts) Mon Mar 2, 2020, 01:03 PM Mar 2020

On 538, Bernie has gone from 45% to 20% for a majority of delegates - in less than a week

Biden's chances have doubled from 8% to 15%
The chance of no candidate getting a majority have skyrocketed to 65% from <50%.

Joementum is real.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-primary-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

3 replies

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On 538, Bernie has gone from 45% to 20% for a majority of delegates - in less than a week (Original Post) AGeddy Mar 2020 OP

There will be more shifting and clarity Zeus69 Mar 2020 #1

what happens tomorrow will be majorly telling of where his numbers go. dumptrump1 Mar 2020 #2

Good Mo' empedocles Mar 2020 #3

Zeus69

(479 posts)

1. There will be more shifting and clarity

Reply to AGeddy (Original post)

Mon Mar 2, 2020, 01:06 PM

Mar 2020

After tomorrow.
These "projections" have been wonky and the "momentum shifts" have made me consider them as nothing more than a snapshot.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

dumptrump1

(236 posts)

2. what happens tomorrow will be majorly telling of where his numbers go.

Reply to AGeddy (Original post)

Mon Mar 2, 2020, 01:13 PM

Mar 2020

But this is becoming a two person race, and I'm guessing that after tomorrow many will drop out leaving both Biden and sanders in the 30s or 40s in national polls and probability of winning.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

empedocles

(15,751 posts)

3. Good Mo'

Reply to AGeddy (Original post)

Mon Mar 2, 2020, 01:28 PM

Mar 2020

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

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Democratic Primaries

AGeddy

On 538, Bernie has gone from 45% to 20% for a majority of delegates - in less than a week

Zeus69

dumptrump1

empedocles

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