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Joe BidenCongratulations to our presumptive Democratic nominee, Joe Biden!
 

honest.abe

(9,238 posts)
Tue Mar 3, 2020, 12:49 PM Mar 2020

Biden campaign predicts Texas upset over Sanders

Texas is crucial to Biden’s effort to make the Democratic primary a one-on-one contest against frontrunner Bernie Sanders, who’s expected to win the biggest state of all on Super Tuesday, California.

“I expect to win Texas,” boasted Cristobal Alex, a senior adviser to Biden and native of El Paso, Texas. “The polls don’t account for results in South Carolina, which are game-changing. ...This is more than anything a numbers game and it’s about math.”

--snip--

Sanders made a swing through the Lone Star State after dominating in Nevada Feb. 20 -- right as early voting started, making prognosticators in the state predict those numbers will favor Sanders.

However, three-quarters of the electorate that cast early ballots are over the age of 40 according to Ryan Data & Research, a Texas political analytics firm that tracks early votes. That could be an advantage for Biden, who generally polls well with middle-aged and older voters.

https://www.politico.com/news/2020/03/03/biden-texas-sanders-super-tuesday-119207

I think Biden wins TX by 10+ pts. The rally last night and Beto's big endorsement are huge. Biden's campaign is running on all cylinders at the moment. Sanders is stuck in 2nd gear.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
7 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
 

Peacetrain

(24,291 posts)
1. From your lips to Gods' ears honest.abe!!
Tue Mar 3, 2020, 12:50 PM
Mar 2020
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

still_one

(98,883 posts)
2. I don't think it is wise to make such predictions from the campaign
Tue Mar 3, 2020, 12:52 PM
Mar 2020
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

honest.abe

(9,238 posts)
3. Unless they are very sure.
Tue Mar 3, 2020, 12:53 PM
Mar 2020

Which I suspect they are.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

still_one

(98,883 posts)
4. They better be, or they will look very foolish. I hope they are right. There are reports that
Tue Mar 3, 2020, 12:54 PM
Mar 2020

Texas has closed a number of polling places where many African Americans live


https://www.democraticunderground.com/1287617609





If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

honest.abe

(9,238 posts)
5. Indeed. Failing to meet expectations is a killer.
Tue Mar 3, 2020, 12:57 PM
Mar 2020

I think they are trying generate additional enthusiasm.. like a "jump on band-wagon" effect.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

still_one

(98,883 posts)
7. That is a reasonable strategy. Enthusiasm is a positive motivation
Tue Mar 3, 2020, 12:59 PM
Mar 2020
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

The_Counsel

(1,758 posts)
6. I Dunno About "10+ pts," But I'll Definitely Take a Win. Even If by 0.5.
Tue Mar 3, 2020, 12:58 PM
Mar 2020

Having more delegates than anyone else running? Sold: American!

If Biden can pull TX and at least get SOMEWHAT close in CA he would be in what we describe in my neighborhood as "the Cat Bird Seat."

If Warren and/or Bloomberg are also viable, all the better....

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden

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