Holy mackerel ! Even if Bernie wins California by a landslide

[drray23]

Biden still come out with more delegates after tonight. Kornacki just did the math for the worst case scenario for Biden where only Sanders is viable in California. Biden ran the tables in so many other places that he comes out ahead.

[Cha]

1. KR!

[C_U_L8R]

2. And the upcoming primary states look very good for Biden.

This is the tipping point. Or close to it.

[Clash City Rocker]

3. The only thing keeping Bernie alive right now is early voting in California

If all the people who voted early for Pete and Amy knew they were going to drop out, I think most would have voted for Joe.

[Celerity]

7. yes, & in Texas, as Biden will win TX, but it would have been a crushing victory if no early voting

Bernie is done, I see zero path to even a plurality win

given the states remaining

many massive incoming landslides for Joe

March 10: Idaho, Michigan, Mississippi, Missouri, and Washington primaries; North Dakota firehouse caucus
March 14: Northern Mariana Islands caucuses
March 15: The eleventh Democratic debate will take place in Phoenix, Arizona.
March 17: Arizona, Florida, Illinois, and Ohio primaries
March 24: Georgia primary
March 29: Puerto Rico primary
April 2020
April 4: Alaska and Hawaii party-run primaries; Louisiana primary; Wyoming caucus
April 7: Wisconsin primary
April 28: Connecticut, Delaware, Maryland, New York, Pennsylvania, and Rhode Island primaries
April 29: Voting in the Oregon primary begins.
May 2020
May 2: Guam caucus; Kansas party-run primary
May 5: Indiana primary
May 12: Nebraska and West Virginia primaries
May 19: Kentucky and Oregon primaries
June 2020
June 2: District of Columbia, Montana, New Jersey, New Mexico, and South Dakota primaries
June 6: Virgin Islands caucuses

[oasis]

4. The remaining primaries belong to Biden. nt

DEMOCRAT

[SidDithers]

5. 271 of the 415 delegates in CA are awarded by results in the 53 congressional districts...

Even if Biden slips under 15% statewide, he's going to be viable in, and even win, some congressional districts. He'll be awarded delegates from those CD races.

Sid

[StevieM]

8. Biden isn't going to slip below 15 percent statewide.

The early vote comes in first and Biden is doing much better in the later vote.

[SidDithers]

10. Agreed. He just jumped ahead of Bloomberg...

up to 19.6% according to the CNN results page.

Sid

[Blue_true]

11. I don't see Biden being under 15% statewide. In fact, he

is most likely to be a few percentage points behind Sanders, if that.

A lot of Bernie voters were talking about the Hispanic vote in California, but in Texas that same day vote appears to have gone to Biden. My guess in the end in California? Bernie or Biden 27%, Bernie or Biden 25%, Bloomberg 10%, the rest of the field the rest to get to 100%.

[SidDithers]

14. I agree...

early results in CA had Biden hovering between 17% and 18%. He just jumped to 19.6% according to CNN website.

I think Bernie wins CA, maybe by as much as 7 or 8%, but in real delegate numbers it won't be enough given Biden's big wins tonight, and the primaries that favour him in one and two weeks.

Sid

[fleabiscuit]

6. I'm sporting a new mugshot and a happy. nt

[wishstar]

9. Biden has just moved into 2nd place in California ahead of Bloomberg

per msnbc's count

[Blue_true]

13. Same day vote starting to get counted.

Would not be surprised to see Biden reach Bernie's total. May be too heavy a lift for Biden to win, but I don't rule that out.

[NYMinute]

12. K&R Go Joe!! nt