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Joe BidenCongratulations to our presumptive Democratic nominee, Joe Biden!
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Can this be real? We have a 51-38% lead on the generic ballot (Original Post) DemocratSinceBirth Mar 2020 OP
Holy crap. MontanaFarmer Mar 2020 #1
If those numbers are real we would be closer to 300 House seats than 200. DemocratSinceBirth Mar 2020 #2
I'm not a big believer in YouGov polls Awsi Dooger Mar 2020 #3
If a poll is too good or too bad to be true it probably isn't. DemocratSinceBirth Mar 2020 #5
Good, but useless right now DonaldsRump Mar 2020 #4
 

MontanaFarmer

(761 posts)
1. Holy crap.
Wed Mar 4, 2020, 07:12 PM
Mar 2020

That's... unreal. We'll be dancing in the streets if anything close to that margin holds up.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

DemocratSinceBirth

(101,930 posts)
2. If those numbers are real we would be closer to 300 House seats than 200.
Wed Mar 4, 2020, 07:14 PM
Mar 2020
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

Awsi Dooger

(14,565 posts)
3. I'm not a big believer in YouGov polls
Wed Mar 4, 2020, 07:15 PM
Mar 2020

I realize they are fairly highly rated. I wish they were not included, in 538 or anywhere else. I think we'd have a far greater representation of the actual state of the electorate.

I say that because I participate in YouGov polls. I am trying to get to $100 Amazon card level. It's like a stubborn pursuit because I'm devoting more time than the $100 is worth. But I only do it in the wee hours like 4 or 5 AM when I've got 10 minutes to spare before going to sleep.

Every time I take those polls I'm thinking exactly the same thing...I can't imagine right wingers doing this. I know damn well my right wing friends wouldn't wade through those polls with all the monotonous formatting from one to the next.

Check out the unweighted numbers in that poll. They are as far from the actual electorate as you'll ever see. The relationship of Democrats to Republicans is bizarre and especially the 3/2 split of liberals above conservatives.

When I see that type of thing I'm not surprised at all. It is exactly as I've always handicapped YouGov toward who is actually participating. Somebody should do a Trump approval compilation while throwing out YouGov. That is going to be a heck of a lot closer to reality.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

DemocratSinceBirth

(101,930 posts)
5. If a poll is too good or too bad to be true it probably isn't.
Wed Mar 4, 2020, 07:18 PM
Mar 2020
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

DonaldsRump

(7,715 posts)
4. Good, but useless right now
Wed Mar 4, 2020, 07:16 PM
Mar 2020

Dukakis was up something like 18% or so in the Summer 1988 and got trounced by Bush I. That was without Russian help, but with the "help" of that saint Lee Atwater.

We need to be legally ruthless from now until November 3 on every election at every level ALL OVER THE COUNTRY.

Am counting my coins in my spare change jar to give a few dollars all over the country to defeat fools like Susan Collins, that witch in Arizona McSally, and the most disgusting of them all, Leningrad Lyin' Lindsey Graham and Moscow Mitch.

Do not think we are ahead until January 20, 2021 when that monster in our White House, the rubbish Rus-publican senators, and reps like Matt Gaetz, Gym Jordan, Doug Collins etc are erased off the electoral map.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
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