Democratic Primaries
Related: About this forumNew Washington state poll by SurveyUSA finds Sanders no longer leading
Sanders had been 5 points ahead, in January (26% to 21% for Biden). He's now 1 point behind Biden (35% to 36%).
They'd asked about who had already voted, and for whom. Sanders was ahead with those who already voted. Biden is ahead with those who didn't vote earlier but are 100% certain they'll return their ballot by the deadline. So this matches results elsewhere that showed Sanders benefiting if the vote was cast before Biden's amazing SC win.
There hasn't been very much polling in Washington state, judging by 538's page for the state, but there was also a poll in February, after IA and NH had voted, showing Sanders 6 points ahead then, at 21%, followed by Bloomberg at 15%, Warren, Klobuchar, and finally Biden, at only 10%.
So this has been a huge change for Biden, in a very progressive state.
https://www.king5.com/article/news/politics/elections/king-5-news-poll-washington-voters-split-between-biden-sanders/281-4806e740-809e-4c9b-9d21-2e4bfb4076b1
http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=017c2b2d-c3b9-4315-9f9d-874cd64ba945
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
bluedye33139
(1,474 posts)Support for Sanders was much lower this year than it was in 2016. Much lower. Many people who supported Sanders in Washington State in 2016 declined to support his 2020 campaign.
https://www.seattlepi.com/local/politics/article/Washington-primary-poll-Sanders-Bloomberg-Biden-15086519.php
When people were trying to interpret the 21% figure as a win, I had to shake my head.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Cha
(297,721 posts)TY, hpd!
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
customerserviceguy
(25,183 posts)early last week for WA. I would imagine that a goodly number of them were mailed in before Super Tuesday.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
pnwmom
(108,995 posts)because I knew anything could happen on March 3. And it did.
Now that we're down to only 2, the choice is suddenly stark.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Demsrule86
(68,696 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
evertonfc
(1,713 posts)he will be the nominee or, at minimum, have a delegate lead going into convention. I don't think Bernie will make a stink if he simply loses via votes. Some of his supporters will. They feel entitled to promises that Bernie could never deliver.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
LiberalFighter
(51,103 posts)Where are the other 53?
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
highplainsdem
(49,041 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
SidDithers
(44,228 posts)If Bernie doesn't start winning some states by 15-25%, he's just going to fall further and further behind in delegate count.
Other states, like MS, are going to be big net delegate winners for Biden. Bernie needs to offset those Biden delegate hauls or he's done.
If Bernie is a net delegate loser on Mar 10, then the race is over.
If Bernie is a net delegate winner on Mar 10, then his campaign lives for another week.
Mar 17 will be the end of Bernie 2020.
Sid
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
Demsrule86
(68,696 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Blue_true
(31,261 posts)Only Wisconsin fits that bill. In all others, he will lose or not get enough margin to haul in a lot of pledged delegates.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
SidDithers
(44,228 posts)and Biden has a bunch of states that will fall into the "big win" category, netting him dozens of delegates.
And WI is a month away, with big Biden states like FL, GA, LA happening first.
Sid
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
LizBeth
(9,952 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
A Brand New World
(1,119 posts)My husband and I voted today in WA for VP Biden! Mail voting is the best way. I just dont understand why all states dont do as WA does.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
BidenBacker
(1,089 posts)and then this thing could really be all but wrapped up on March 17th. Which would be fitting for Irish Joe on St Patrick's Day.
I just pray that he has a decent debate in between the two big dates. I've been a Biden supporter for POTUS since around 2006 and love the guy but as we all know he has always been somewhat gaffe-prone so as long as he stays away from any galactically stupid ones we should be okay. Knock on wood.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden