Latest 538 probabilities - Biden 99%, Sanders 0.1%

[George II]

Sanders is only 0.1% ahead of Tulsi Gabbard.

Delegates - Biden 2403, Sanders 1,378, Gabbard 34.

[Cha]

1. Wow.. hope it stays.

[George II]

3. Biden is ahead by 97 delegates now, will gain 50 more tomorrow. Just no room to catch up now.

[samnsara]

9. please deer gawd let it end tomorrow so we can get on with the business of...

...taking down trump* instead of each other

[onetexan]

38. +1 K&R - Come on ID, MI, MS, MO, ND & WA Dems, make your voice known at the polls today

and get VP Biden to a decisive victory for the sake of America!!

[Cha]

11. Again.. wow.. this is all happening so

FAST! TY

[TexasTowelie]

21. Back in the fall when I did some rough calculations I thought that Biden would be ahead by

150-200 delegates after Super Tuesday. As the Bloomberg campaign, I lowered my estimate down to a 100-150 delegate lead for Biden. I wasn't surprised when another candidate showed up near the top in Iowa or New Hampshire. Thus far, the only surprise this entire primary season for me is that Bernie did as well as he did in Nevada. It looks like my other predictions will be on track after California completes counting the ballots.

[Jarqui]

5. I think it will

I can't recall seeing shifts in polling like this

I've looked a few times. Here's one from today:
https://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1287&pid=651123

538 have the underlying collection of polling data to back them up. (as you would expect of them)

Sanders needs to work on his concession speech.

[Happy Hoosier]

17. Tomorrow will be important.

It could keep Sanders on Life support, or it might pull the plug.

[Cha]

18. Exactly.. we won't know

for sure until tomorrow.

[grantcart]

25. It is so over

Two different things

1) Biden is lifting us up

2) Sanders campaign is collapsing

Everyone is so tired that everyone, except a relatively small number of Sanders diehards want to finish with the playoffs and get to the World Series.

24 hours and it's done

[Cha]

26. ..

Bookmarked! grant

[NurseJackie]

35. So... do you think Bernie will release is full and complete medical records?

[grantcart]

40. I think that Sanders (I) will continue his campaign by railing against

a corrupt evil system and continue to self anoint himself as a pure saint and will offer his candidacy as an opportunity for other pure of heart to contribute to.

He will then (in a very misleading way) get people to contribute to the campaign to build a post campaign war chest that he will leverage to primary moderate Democrats like AOC did.

He will see his legacy as getting people to donate to a campaign he will not spend on so he can continue to frame himself as a blessed innocent who banks contributions from project A and in the future spend tens of millions defeating moderate Democrats in a bloody political pay back because they stopped him from being President because, you know, they are corrupt and he and his supporters are innocent and pure.

IMO he will be (even more) embittered by the enormity of the defeat he will suffer today and will never miss an opportunity to pay back on a party that never embraced him and he never joined. He will speak out against Trump. Whether I am right or not will be seen if he a) continues to aggressively raise money b) whether he spends it or hoards it.

[NurseJackie]

41. Yes.

[TwilightZone]

2. Of all the states/terrorities left in the race, Sanders has more than a 2% lead in...one.

Rhode Island.

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/how-the-rest-of-the-primary-calendar-looks-for-biden-and-sanders/

[George II]

4. I think he's only ahead in two or three.

[TwilightZone]

8. Yep, under 2% lead in about three others.

So, one state outside of any likely MOE. Maybe not even one, depending on the poll.

[R B Garr]

6. Wow! Wipe out.

[NurseJackie]

7. Bernie will not be sleeping well tonight.

Probably worried about having to concede.

[DonaldsRump]

10. Am feeling the Burn....the Biden Burn! n/t

[Codeine]

12. Just two weeks ago he was being written off

as political roadkill and now he’s dominating at a level that I don’t think anyone expected. This is one for the textbooks.

[napi21]

13. I HATE to say this, but I'm positive Bernie won't just drop out this soon. I see the proof you've

presented, and I believe it's mainly because so many caucus States have switched to regular elections. I'm still not sure why
Bernie wins all the caucuses but he did the same in 2015. I don't think his ego will let him quit yet. And that's not a slam to Bernie,. You HAVE to have a big ego to even RUN for President!

[TexasTowelie]

22. I expect him to stay in the race until the last primary in June

so that everyone gets to vote. I hope that the following day he has the grace and humility to concede rather than dragging it out until the convention. During the next few months though, I hope that Bernie will avoid the negative campaigning and work to calm the attacks from his surrogates and supporters.

[NurseJackie]

36. Meanwhile, his campaign's scorched-earth and kneecapping philosophy will continue in full force...

Meanwhile, his campaign's scorched-earth and kneecapping philosophy will continue in full force I fear. In spite of a 100% certain loss, the Sanders campaign and surrogates will be busy smearing, slicing, dicing, denigrating our party's nominee.

I hope that Bernie will avoid the negative campaigning and work to calm the attacks from his surrogates and supporters.

I have the lowest of expectations in that regard. Of course all these things only serve to weaken and divide our party and to harm our party's nominee. It doesn't take a genius to see the kind of harm that folks like Cenk Uygur and Michael Moore so gleefully engage in.

[Turin_C3PO]

37. That's what I hope too.

I’ve seen some good signs from Sanders on news shows saying he’ll get behind Biden fully when the time comes. Hopefully he sticks to his word.

[George II]

32. Sanders won 24 of 57 states/territories, only TWO were closed primaries.

[onetexan]

39. then Dems leaders & DNC need to up the pressure on him to pack it in

otherwise he'll be doing the same thing he did with Hillary, costing her valuable time & resources having to primary the rest of the states.

I'll also add that this should teach the DNC a lesson NOT to allow independent candidates to run under the Dem ticket. It's dangerous and divisive, as i've mentioned before.

[Demsrule86]

14. You know I look at this and I think back two weeks when Joe was on the ropes...

Sanders had the same chance of being elected as Gabbard...that's got to hurt. Unbelievable.

[napi21]

24. Yes, and I figured Joe would have to drop out after Super Tuesday, I've been a oe supporter since

2015 campaign I was thrilled when Obama picked him for his VP. So when I saw his poor showing in the first 3 States, I was really figuring Bernie would be or nominee. Needless to say I was ecstatic when he won SC by such a large margin. Now, I don't think anything can stop.

[showblue22]

15. Maybe his Negative campaign helped Joe

It's hurtful and draining but if it shuts the door on him for good, it's worth it.

[NurseJackie]

16. Absolutely CRUSHING numbers. Humiliating.

[nolawarlock]

19. LMAO!

I love that "no one" scores higher than Bernie!

[William769]

20. Kick & recommended.

[Scurrilous]

23. I've seen teams kicking off with 10 secs on clock & down 10 points get better odds of winning.

[Moostache]

27. I think I can catch Tulsi!

I only need 35 delegates....write in campaign starts now! (LOL)

[grantcart]

28. Hahaha

[subterranean]

29. So you're telling me there's a chance!

[NurseJackie]

31. Perhaps so!

[Scurrilous]

33. LOL

[lindysalsagal]

30. I'm surprised they posted such a perfect landslide

I would have thought an operation like that wouldn't publish a perfect score for fear of threatening their credibility.

[NurseJackie]

34. So, literally: No one does better than Sanders?

So, literally: No one does better than Sanders? And, No one has a better chance than Sanders? They are telling us that: No one can beat Sanders?

I just find that to be absolutely amazing!