A Question about the DU disconnect re Poll Numbers

very well. It trends considerably farther to the left.

I would think that we denizens of DU are more in-tune to the nuances of the race because we are political peeps and pay attention in the off years.

Look at the money race -- seems alot of the donor class are still sitting this out for now to see how it fleshes out as well.

Let them get the first debates under their belt, and it will be Lucy Bar The Door on both counts, IMO.

A DemPrimary poster enumerated the number of unique posters (since the forum was formed) a few weeks ago and it was only around 500. Sure there may be more now, but certainly, far less than 1000 unique DUers posting there in that forum.

So, given the 500 previously enumerated previously--or hell, let's say 800, that means
336 DUers expressing undecided
88 each for Harris and Buttigieg
80 for Biden
72 for Warren
64 for Sanders


So, the difference on DU between Harris/Buttigieg and Biden is 8 votes!
between Harris/Buttigieg and Warren is 18 votes
between Harris/Buttigieg and Sanders is 24 votes
That is nothing...


See the point? These percentages are meant to add interest, but the sample sizes are so small that they are meaningless--even among DUers.

Whatevs. Amiright?

Funny.

it may be a fun way to occupy us until the voting starts but I have always thought that If mickey mouse or Herman Munster were on the list they would always be at first & second place.

Biden, Sanders, and O'Rourke are under appreciated here relative to the general population. I think Biden is penalized for not having officially announced yet. That should change tomorrow. Despite forum rules, Sanders is a constant object of attack here, and that keeps his numbers down. Also, a lot of Sanders supporters left this site, voluntarily and involuntarily, in 2016. I think Beto is too moderate to do well here.

a DEMOCRATIC PARTY website. Not much love is going to flow when he is hellbent on slagging off a large part of the very people who are in the Party.

Pro tip Bernie:

Don't shit where you eat.

Harris and Pete would be at 19% each, Biden 17% and Warren 16% if we didn't. Also our sample size is very low and not random. That said, the order is certainly different here. I am actually a bit surprised Warren is doing considerably better here than in real polls. Since Harris is doing well, better here than in the outside world, I am not sure sexism is the only thing to blame for Warren's poorer showing that I think she would have here. I don't know if it is electibility or what. I know I am undecided, in part, because I don't know who will and who won't be viable by the time I get to vote.

Political activation requires passion and passion or strong emotion cements memories in the subconscious, ie; anger or resentment which I believe colors our perspective more than the average American.

Thus many members here are still reliving the emotional primaries of 2016 and it's reflected in our D.U. polls.

The average American is more concerned about the issues and policies which affect their lives.

Thanks for the thread donkeypoofed.

than the Democrats out there.

Eventually, you'll see poll numbers commensurate with DU as time elapses.

and, if accurate, doesn't bode well for your preferred candidate.

She has good ideas and when she got to the part where she was telling a personal story and tying it into her positions she was very engaging and pulled people in. Unfortunately, when she got more into policies and plans she doesn't deliver those things in a condensed manner. She lost me after a bit because she was talking too much detail. It started to come across like a college lecture and I lost interest. I think if she can find away to be more concise and condensed with those policy statements it would help her out a lot.

The electorate is not made up of Democratic activists and bloggers.

some poor and some rich, mostly or even overwhelmingly White. It is a segment of the party, but not representative of the full breath of the Democratic Party, IMO.