****NEW HAMPSHIRE SHOCK POLL****Click for the extraordinary results

[DemocratSinceBirth]

Last edited Tue Apr 30, 2019, 09:44 AM - Edit history (1)

Link to tweet

Biden 20%
Buttigieg 12%
Sanders 12%*
Warren 8%
Harris 6%
Booker 3%
O'Rourke 3%
Delaney 1%
Gabbard 1%
Klobuchar 1%
Yang 1%
Castro <1%
Gillibrand <1%
Hickenlooper <1%
Messam <1%
Moulton <1%
Ryan <1%
Swalwell <1%
Williamson <1%
Inslee 0%



*Received 60% of the vote in the 2016 New Hampshire primary
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2016_New_Hampshire_Democratic_primary

[Cha]

1. Click bait! lol

[crazytown]

3. That's not the shock I was thinking about.

My eyes went straight to the top of the list. No surprises there. Relax Denis, relax.

[Cha]

5. It is a lot more

for Biden than before he entered the race.. bigger spread I think.

The OP seemed too happy for it to be anything but good news for Biden

[crazytown]

8. It's Mayor Pete's first 2nd Place

even if the margin is negligible . A milestone for his campaign.

[Cha]

9. Yeah, that's awesome! Can

imagine how happy he and his Team are!

[brush]

29. NH is hardly representative of the country. This poll means nothing outside of the state.

[crazytown]

30. It's Bernie's backyard

and he didn’t even make second place. That means something.

[brush]

34. That's true. I was actually looking at Mayor Pete's numbers. I don't think they mean much nationally

Polling in 95% white NH doesn't, IMO, mean much except for, as you say, Sanders who is from the region and is not leading. That's news.

[Kahuna7]

38. Exactly. It would be devastating for Sanders if he doesn't win...

Wonder who he will blame.

[crazytown]

39. The Clintons

... just a guess

[Kahuna7]

41. Doh....

[LuvLoogie]

54. Or the DNC...

There's a loop tape in my head of him on Thom Hartmann shouting "Millionaires and Billionaires!"

And a sparrow.

I hope he chills and joins the party afterwards.

[crazytown]

58. If Brett Kavanaugh ever gets dementia

I can see him in his private hospital bead screaming about ‘The Clintons’ to everyone and no one.

[we can do it]

68. Beat me to it🙃

[mobeau69]

11. Yes, candidates tend to poll higher when they're actual in the race.

[Chipper Chat]

2. I'm surprised Warren isn't polling higher.

[BigOleDummy]

4. As...

….am I. A Warren/Mayor Pete ticket would be unbeatable imo

[JaneQPublic]

13. Me, too.

Even though I'm undecided, Warren is definitely in my top tier.

But considering as well as she's done at recent speaking engagements, I suspect she's like a smouldering ember that will soon burst into flames once she gets a bit more oxygen.

[mopinko]

31. i agree w you.

they keep telling us that the voters are hungry for policy. she is the one who brings it.
she will shine on the debate stage.

[BigOleDummy]

64. Indeed

She will, Ms. Warren is a FIGHTER and imho that's what we need.

[crazytown]

23. She's having the time of her life.

Sometimes at the SEIU/CAP forum Liz was showing such uninhibited joy she could have been a teenager.

Here, on this poll, she’s moving back up, passing Harris

[crazytown]

6. Sanders third is his backyard?

Hmm. Not convinced. Yet.

[honest.abe]

7. Bad news for the Sanders team.

NH should be his best bet of the first 4 states. He trounced Hillary there in 2016. If he cant win NH he's toast.

[Laelth]

18. The fact that he's not leading in NH is the shocker, here. imo. n/t

-Laelth

[DemocratSinceBirth]

36. How did Bernie lose 80% of his support?

[honest.abe]

40. Yeah, clearly a bunch of folks who voted for him in 2016 have switched to someone else.

And I would say those will likely not come back. They already know him very well. Why would they switch back?

[we can do it]

67. Actual Democrat Warren is in the race with more explicit policies.

BS divisiveness is wearing thin? We have great enthusiastic candidates?

[Fiendish Thingy]

10. All will change after debates on June 26/27 nt

[mobeau69]

12. Can't wait for the debates.

It's a state by state race at this point. The people of Iowa will sort a lot out.

[Fiendish Thingy]

15. I think it's possible we'll be down to single digits in candidates by Iowa. Nt

[mopinko]

32. anybody not on the stage at the first debate will drop out.

tho 16 have already qualified.

some will shake out after nh.
i think you are right, tho. it's a long slog. many, imho, just want 'presidential candidate' on their resume. it wont really matter how long they hang in.

[Demsrule86]

35. I do not believe debate change minds...morning consult poll out devestating to Sanders but good for

Biden. This means we may very well be able to win the general...Repubs who are starting to break not deciding if they will vote Democrat until they see who runs...a moderate should get some of their votes...Joe is perceived as a moderate but he is actually quite progressive these days.

[Fiendish Thingy]

50. What the debate changes is visibility and perception

Right now, you have to make a deliberate effort to catch a candidate’s town hall, unless you stumble onto a talk show appearance.

With the debates, all candidates will be together on same stage, sharing their policies for voters to compare. The undecided voters will be key targets for the candidates. “Electability”, as well as ability to govern, will come in touch sharper focus.

[Demsrule86]

59. Maybe for Mayor Pete. But both Biden who is leading and Sanders are well known.

The others are too far down to get much of a bump in a 20 person debate.

[George II]

14. Still LOTS of undecided, but based on some other polls I think I know where they'll go.

[Fiendish Thingy]

16. Where was Obama at this point in 2007?

Or Bill Clinton at this point in 1991?

[crazytown]

21. Gallup: 29 - 47 behind (graph)

[mobeau69]

24. They said this day would never come. They said our sights were set too high.

[crazytown]

25. Yes we can!

Despite the setback Obama’s speech in New Hampshire reaches to the stratosphere.

[Kahuna7]

42. Obama was an unknown. Biden and Bernie are not. nt

[DemocratSinceBirth]

26. Who is the Obama and/or Bill Clinton in this race?

[Fiendish Thingy]

27. We don't know yet, by my guess would be

Either Mayor Pete, Harris, or Warren.

I think Joe and Bernie are at/near their ceilings, and their support will only decline from here.

[Maru Kitteh]

70. The numbers don't reflect your last sentiment there. Biden is rising, Bernie is falling like a stone

Pete, Harris and Warren do continue to trend upward. I love all of them. I support Biden but Harris, Warren and Pete are all amazing too. Would love to see any combo of any of those four.

[George II]

28. The big difference is that both Obama and Clinton were oozing with charisma.

[crazytown]

33. And I would add

Hillary v Obama was the most epic primary contest in history. It was not easy at all for Barack to clinch the nomination.

[George II]

37. Way back in the beginning of the primary campaign, I went back and forth at least twice.....

.....and finally settled (I don't mean "settled" in the classic sense!) on Obama. I would have gladly supported either. What I appreciated about Clinton was that once it was clear that Obama was going to get the nomination, she enthusiastically worked for his election, right from the Convention.

[crazytown]

20. This is a poll that asks respondents to give a name.

For Mayor Pete to come second, however narrowly, when half the people can’t pronounce his name is an exceptional achievement.

[mobeau69]

22. Two months ago he was at 0.

He is the anti-trump.

[Kurt V.]

17. I'm shocked! hehe

[Codeine]

19. I would like to see Harris doing better,

but Smilin’ Joe makes me almost as happy.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

45. Yet I have a 100% DU rating . * I wonder what the DU rating the person maligning me has.

But please keep following me around from thread to thread with your insults.

2000 or more total posts: +20
200 or more days of membership: +20
20 or more posts in the last 90 days: +20
Star member: +40
0 posts hidden in 90 days: -0
TOTAL: 100

*Looks like I'm a member of this board in perfect standing


LOVE,
DSB

[George II]

47. Bazinga!

[DemocratSinceBirth]

49. It's literally the only time I used the Click technique

It's literally the only time I used the Click technique except when I asked people to click for a list of Donald Trump's accomplishments and when they click the post is empty.

[ehrnst]

51. .....

[MineralMan]

62. Indeed you do.

[ehrnst]

52. "DU" is using "spamming tactics?"

[mcar]

57. That's an odd thing to worry about

It's bad for DU to use spamming tactics like this.

[MineralMan]

60. Hmm...See replies.

[Renew Deal]

65. I do

https://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1287&pid=99366

[Sogo]

44. Waaay early....

...but I'm not surprised. The only surprise is that Bernie is from a neighboring state, which usually is like home court advantage. But Biden has a much broader appeal and is more "presidential," IMHO. I just hope the progressive purists don't mess it up this time, if this picture holds.

[WeekiWater]

46. That is shocking and I would say is probably good for some of the other candidates.

The Sanders camp has to be horrified at this. Buttigieg, Warren and Harris must be ecstatic over it.

[George II]

48. What strikes me is that Sanders + Warren (from neighboring states) equal Biden.

[mcar]

55. Sanders is finished if he can't win NH

I'm glad to see Warren coming up in the polls.

[Gothmog]

56. This poll makes me smile

[oasis]

61. For Nina Turner's next speech: "In what world do New Hampshire voters

give Bernie Sanders the brush off"?

[Kahuna7]

66. That sounds about right.

[calguy]

63. Once things start getting serious

Bernie will fade into obscurity.

[Gothmog]

69. This makes me smile