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Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin

(107,646 posts)
Thu Jul 30, 2020, 08:08 PM Jul 2020

Biden leads Trump by 9 points in Pennsylvania: poll

Presumptive Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden leads President Trump by 9 points in the crucial swing state of Pennsylvania, according to a new poll.

Biden has the support of 50 percent of the state's registered voters surveyed for a Franklin and Marshall College poll released Thursday, compared to Trump's 41 percent.

Biden's support is largely driven by an anti-Trump sentiment, with 55 percent of Biden's supporters in Pennsylvania saying they are voting against Trump, not for the former vice president. By comparison, 78 percent of Trump supporters said they are planning to vote in support of Trump and not against Biden, based on the poll.

The survey also found Biden has slightly more support among self-identified liberals than Trump holds with conservatives; 95 percent of liberals said they plan to vote for Biden, while 86 percent of conservatives said they plan to vote for Trump. Biden also is leading among moderate voters over Trump, 63 percent to 22 percent, based on the poll.


https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/biden-leads-trump-by-9-points-in-pennsylvania-poll/ar-BB17nd9a?li=BBnb7Kz&ocid=DELLDHP

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Biden leads Trump by 9 points in Pennsylvania: poll (Original Post) Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin Jul 2020 OP
Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin: Thank you very much! :) Sloumeau Jul 2020 #1
Weighted for education, fixing a big flaw in the 2016 PA polls Cicada Jul 2020 #2
This is great Gothmog Jul 2020 #3

Cicada

(4,533 posts)
2. Weighted for education, fixing a big flaw in the 2016 PA polls
Fri Jul 31, 2020, 06:20 AM
Jul 2020

The less educated avoided pollsters in 2016. That group tilted for Trump so the 2016 polls in PA MI and WI were off by about 5%. This poll fixes that error, making sure the right number of less educated were included.

So this is encouraging.

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