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The Disappearing Trump voter
'Hidden' Trump Voters Exist. But How Much Impact Will They Have?
Republicans insist that millions of Americans want to vote for Trump but won’t admit it. Polling experts tell a different story.
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Still, Geoff Garin, a Democratic pollster, said what really explains Mr. Trump’s low standing is not flawed methodology, but rather the president’s inability to expand his coalition.
“The problem for the Trump campaign is not the silent Trump voter but the disappearing Trump voter,” Mr. Garin said. “And there are a lot more disappearing Trump voters than there are silent ones.”
The flip side of that dynamic — people who did not vote for Mr. Trump in 2016 and who have now become supporters — is barely a factor. “Among Clinton voters, it is less than 5 percent,” Mr. Garin said.
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/08/16/us/politics/trump-polls.html
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