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Related: About this forumTrump failure to consolidate Republican vote hints at 'ceiling' for general election - Super Tuesday - Decision 2024 MSNBC
Former Senator Claire McCaskill and Jen Palmieri, Obama White House communications director, share their impressions of the Super Tuesday results and the role Nikki Haley continues to play both in the Republican primary and as a "heat sink" for anti-Trump voters. - Aired on 03/05/2024.
Lovie777
(22,985 posts)Rhiannon12866
(255,559 posts)Which is also the reason that he's mandated to give E. Jean Carroll a lot more compensation.
markodochartaigh
(5,545 posts)which show Trump winning or tied need to be viewed with the caveat that what we are seeing is Trump's ceiling, and President Biden's floor.
Even if Satan himself campaigned for Trump at every rally, Trump would not lose more than 5% of those who say that they will vote for him, nor would he gain 5% of those who say that they won't vote for him. It's an unmovable number, but it is the maximum that he will get. It's horrifying that almost 45% of any group would support authoritarian rule, ever so much the more so when that group is likely voters, but I think that we are stronger facing the facts.
President Biden's numbers are the 45% or so of voters who are committed to him because they appreciate his very strong economic record, or his solid stand against Republican authoritarian takeover, or just because they are Democratic
voters. But President Biden has access to at least 10% of likely voters who will vote based upon reasons to which President Biden can appeal.
I think that the real issue is to appeal to the almost one third of voters who usually can't be bothered to vote. Successful messaging here could raise President Biden's floor seemingly out of nowhere. And I think that this is something that us hoi-polloi could help with.
TexasBushwhacker
(21,204 posts)also show over 10% undecided, and that will make all the difference. It ain't over til it's over.
fightvision81
(22 posts)that what matters most is what is happening in the battleground ground states and Biden is only up in PA. Who knows how many undecideds there are in those battleground states. Biden needs to hit pay dirt with this State of the Union.