Let's talk about Trump, Mexico, CIA, and risks.... - Belle of the Ranch

[TexasTowelie]

Well, howdy there Internet people. It's Belle again. So, today we're going to talk about Trump, Mexico, CIA, and risks.

Okay. So, there's been a lot of speculation and conflicting reports coming out of Mexico as far as potential US intelligence involvement with Mexican operations in the country after the recent incident. So far, US intelligence isn't really commenting on the actions that took place. Meanwhile, a statement from Mexican officials said one CIA employee entered Mexico as a visitor while the other entered with a diplomatic passport. If you've missed this because it's been overshadowed, two people who are reported to be CIA employees were in a car accident and didn't survive.

Statements from various officials can be pieced together to get the idea that they were returning from destroying a lab and were traveling in a convoy with Mexican officials when their vehicle drove off the edge of a ravine and then exploded. Two Mexican officers were also lost.

But here's the problem. They weren't supposed to be working there. According to the Ministry of Security, which released a statement that said, "Mexican law is clear, it does not permit the participation of foreign agents in operations within the national territory.

The president of Mexico and various officials have given conflicting statements about whether the US intelligence employees were known to be working in the country by the federal government."

Governor Campos of Chihuahua, where the incident occurred, announced an investigation into the events and the crash. "The state government has ordered the immediate creation of a specialized unit, which will be tasked with consolidating and integrating the investigative files."

So, there we go. We'll soon find out everything that happened, right? Probably not. See, Governor Campos is part of the opposition party, and there's already a widespread belief on both sides of the border that it's possible US intelligence was working with the governor directly and bypassing the federal government.

President Sheinbaum has already said there would be an investigation into whether Campos and the CIA broke Mexican laws. We likely won't know the true extent of US intelligence involvement for a while.

So, what does all of this tell us? Not much. But it is a clear indication that while Trump wants to push his hardline on drugs, the demand is in the United States and somebody is going to fill it as long as the demand exists. It might make more sense to focus on reducing demand rather than starting another conflict.

Even a low intensity fight down there will carry costs both in dollars and people. It also carries a real risk of escalation and spillover into the United States as well as it sparking a real war with Mexico. This, much like Iran, has not been thought out and it doesn't seem like all potential outcomes have been considered.

Anyway, it's just a thought. Y'all have a good day.