March 29, 2016

She wants to sit on her lead there

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/ny/new_york_democratic_presidential_primary-4221.html

538.com appears to project a tie and an almost even split of the 247 delegates at stake. (This strikes me as CYA on their part after all the wrong calls.)

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/election-2016/delegate-targets/democrats/

So if the polls are accurate and stable for another three weeks and she wins NY on something like 2-1 or greater, then the morning after April 19 you will hear the loudest spinning you have ever heard for Bernie to exit the race. California's primary, where Clinton currently holds just a 7-point lead. is a far-away June 7.

This running-out-the-clock gambit is why she's coming under such withering criticism.

March 28, 2016

That was a gaffe by Benenson

March 24, 2016

Fair point

but they just don't care about those things. They just want to win (or see a woman in the White House, or something similarly shallow) and they don't care what they have to do or say to make that happen.

Prior to an election ... is it the candidate or is it the camp? After the election is a much easier answer, of course.

March 24, 2016

As in 8 or 9 years ago, personally

And it should have been lost five years earlier than that, if I'm really honest with myself about it.

March 20, 2016

Don't discount Jesse Ventura as the Lib candidate

http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2016/02/29/jesse-ventura-i-ll-run-for-president-if-bernie-loses.html

It's rather surreal reading that article, considering the Beast's Clinton bias and what appears to be a few contradictory statements by Jesse the Body. But keep in mind he was the second of two actors in Predator to have been elected governor of a so-called liberal state.

"Get to the choppah!"

March 12, 2016

On the coin tosses in Iowa:

http://brainsandeggs.blogspot.com/2016/02/whats-most-you-ever-lost-on-coin-toss.html

March 12, 2016

"I misspoke" is not an apology.

That's Rachel conflating for her candidate.

March 10, 2016

I think it depends

on where you live. I live in Texas. Does that answer your question?

I voted in the primary for Bernie, which precludes me from participating in any Green Party activism. I hold a media credential for the TX Dems' state convention this June in San Antonio, and for the GPUS presidential nominating convention in Houston in August.

I have contributed to both presidential campaigns this cycle. So I'm kind of a hybrid.

I hope there a large number of Texas voters in November willing to send the right message to the Clinton wing of the Democratic Party -- and conversely, the Trumpers and Trumpettes of the Rethuglican Party -- that our progressive votes cannot be taken for granted, and I think the two worst ways to send that message are not voting, or writing in Bernie's name. Texas does not count write-in votes unless they are 'certified', which means 50K signatures in a small window of time. And because his name has appeared on the D line already, he's automatically ineligible as a write-in or third-party or independent candidate. Check the write-in laws in your state; YMMV.

If you live in a swing state that polls closely as Election Day approaches, the choice becomes more of a quandary. LOTE may well be a deciding factor. But there will only be, as there have been for a few cycles now, a handful of states where that will be the case.

The easiest and best thing to do is vote your conscience and let the chips fall where they may.

March 10, 2016

There is some context that is necessary

From about 8 years ago:

http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2008/05/06/exit-polls-half-of-clintons-supporters-wont-back-obama/

This cycle feels different, however. The BernieorBusters seem a little more determined, and their desertion from the party at large seems somewhat more committed, with ramifications downballot more ominous. '08's PUMAs did not vacate as much as they told pollsters they would, but their Democratic roots were firmer than the Berners. There's been much evidence, anecdotal and otherwise, that Bernie's independent support is vast and exclusive to him.

Michigan's results are the most recent example.

March 9, 2016

MSNBC has gone bad.

I can't watch them any more. If it's not Trump it's Clinton surrogates spinning their asses off.

I only watch CNN when THEY're not talking about or broadcasting Herr Drumpf.

Just turn them off. There's no truth or reality being broadcast there. They have tubed every progressive, from KO to Ed Shultz to MHP. Don't give them the ratings.