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brooklynite
brooklynite's Journal
brooklynite's Journal
January 31, 2020
Who's Winning the 2020 Presidential Delegate Count?
(a new page that will track delegate allocations for each candidate)
Bloomberg
The Democratic Party will choose their nominee to challenge President Donald Trump during four months of elections that begin with the Iowa caucus on Feb. 3 and conclude with the U.S. Virgin Islands in June. Bloomberg News is keeping track of each candidates path to the nomination up to the Democratic Party Convention in July.
A candidate wins the nomination if they can secure a majority of delegates2,376 or more. That includes a combined total of pledged delegatesthose awarded based on election resultsand unpledged superdelegatesparty leaders who can vote for the candidate of their choosing.
A candidate wins the nomination if they can secure a majority of delegates2,376 or more. That includes a combined total of pledged delegatesthose awarded based on election resultsand unpledged superdelegatesparty leaders who can vote for the candidate of their choosing.
January 31, 2020
Today is BREXIT day...
https://twitter.com/ChrisBastianBkl/status/1223225009788936194
January 30, 2020
Buttigieg calls out Biden and Sanders by name ahead of Iowa caucuses
CNNDecorah, Iowa (CNN)Pete Buttigieg on Thursday accused Joe Biden and Bernie Sanders, by name, of forcing the debate among Democratic presidential contenders to be too focused on the past rather than the future.
Buttigieg's naming of his rivals is a significant shift just days ahead of the Iowa caucuses, something the former mayor of South Bend, Indiana, has avoided doing in recent weeks. The move signals that Buttigieg sees the former vice president and the Vermont senator as his main opponents in the key early state.
"I hear Vice President Biden, saying that this is no time to take a risk on someone new," Buttigieg said. "But history has shown us that the biggest risk we could take with a very important election coming up is to look to the same Washington playbook and recycle the same arguments and expect that to work against a president like Donald Trump, who is new in kind." Earlier this month the Biden campaign released an ad in which a narrator tells voters, "This is no time to take a risk."
Buttigieg then went after Sanders.
"Then I hear Senator Sanders calling for a kind of politics that says you got to go all the way here and nothing else counts," he said. "And it's coming at the very moment when we actually have a historic majority, not just aligned around what it is we're against, but agreeing on what it is we're for."
Buttigieg's naming of his rivals is a significant shift just days ahead of the Iowa caucuses, something the former mayor of South Bend, Indiana, has avoided doing in recent weeks. The move signals that Buttigieg sees the former vice president and the Vermont senator as his main opponents in the key early state.
"I hear Vice President Biden, saying that this is no time to take a risk on someone new," Buttigieg said. "But history has shown us that the biggest risk we could take with a very important election coming up is to look to the same Washington playbook and recycle the same arguments and expect that to work against a president like Donald Trump, who is new in kind." Earlier this month the Biden campaign released an ad in which a narrator tells voters, "This is no time to take a risk."
Buttigieg then went after Sanders.
"Then I hear Senator Sanders calling for a kind of politics that says you got to go all the way here and nothing else counts," he said. "And it's coming at the very moment when we actually have a historic majority, not just aligned around what it is we're against, but agreeing on what it is we're for."
January 30, 2020
Bloomberg staffing up in.....Mississippi.
https://twitter.com/DonnerKay/status/1222943572158296066
January 30, 2020
US Ambassador to Israel: "Israeli Peace Plan is good for the Bible"
https://twitter.com/DavidBrodyCBN/status/1222933373749997568
January 30, 2020
Lots of hard data in the linked article.
Take Two: Can Sanders Broaden His Base?
UVA Center for Politics Unlike in 2016, Bernie Sanders has a real chance to win the Democratic presidential nomination.
However, he likely will have to broaden his base of support to do so.
Namely, better showings in big urban and suburban areas are important, particularly as the field narrows.
However, he likely will have to broaden his base of support to do so.
Namely, better showings in big urban and suburban areas are important, particularly as the field narrows.
Bernie Sanders begins his second bid for the Democratic presidential nomination in possession of something he never attained in 2016: A competitive chance of winning.
Sanders first try four years ago was respectable. Facing a top-heavy favorite in Hillary Rodham Clinton, he won 22 states 12 caucuses and 10 primaries, among them the battleground states of Michigan and Wisconsin. He drew 43% of the nationwide Democratic primary vote, which represented more than 13 million voters. As a result, he posted the highest primary vote total in the nations history for any candidate not named Obama, Clinton, or Trump.
Yet in 2016, Sanders never had a realistic chance of winning the partys nomination. Two basic stumbling blocks stood in his way: superdelegates and the South. The former, which comprised 15% of the convention delegates, went virtually en masse for Clinton, as she was a part of the Democratic establishment in a way that Sanders never was or could be. And with Clintons firm grip on the minority vote, the Vermont senator was never able to penetrate the South. He lost 12 of 13 primaries across the region (all save Oklahoma), polling barely one third of its aggregate primary vote in the process.
Sanders problem garnering the votes of African Americans and Hispanics extended to other regions of the country as well, helping Clinton to dominate the vote in many of the nations leading urban centers and their suburbs. The result: In the 10 states with 15 or more electoral votes, Sanders could carry the primary in only one, and that, Michigan, was by less than 20,000 votes out of 1.2 million cast.
Sanders first try four years ago was respectable. Facing a top-heavy favorite in Hillary Rodham Clinton, he won 22 states 12 caucuses and 10 primaries, among them the battleground states of Michigan and Wisconsin. He drew 43% of the nationwide Democratic primary vote, which represented more than 13 million voters. As a result, he posted the highest primary vote total in the nations history for any candidate not named Obama, Clinton, or Trump.
Yet in 2016, Sanders never had a realistic chance of winning the partys nomination. Two basic stumbling blocks stood in his way: superdelegates and the South. The former, which comprised 15% of the convention delegates, went virtually en masse for Clinton, as she was a part of the Democratic establishment in a way that Sanders never was or could be. And with Clintons firm grip on the minority vote, the Vermont senator was never able to penetrate the South. He lost 12 of 13 primaries across the region (all save Oklahoma), polling barely one third of its aggregate primary vote in the process.
Sanders problem garnering the votes of African Americans and Hispanics extended to other regions of the country as well, helping Clinton to dominate the vote in many of the nations leading urban centers and their suburbs. The result: In the 10 states with 15 or more electoral votes, Sanders could carry the primary in only one, and that, Michigan, was by less than 20,000 votes out of 1.2 million cast.
Lots of hard data in the linked article.
January 30, 2020
Jill Biden Visits The Blazing Saddle, Talks Joe's LGBTQ Plans
Iowa Starting LineDr. Jill Bidens arrival at a Des Moines gay bar on Wednesday surprised some regular customers, but it also may have bumped her husband, former Vice President Joe Biden, higher on some caucus-goers lists.
With less than a week until caucus night, the former Second Lady hosted an LGBTQ happy hour at the Blazing Saddle in the East Village, noting her husbands policies to further push equality and the strength of LGBTQ community members. She arrived in the state Wednesday to campaign for her husband, expected to hit events through Friday across the state.
Progress has happened because you fought to make it happen. By living your truth every day, you are making it happen. But the fight is not over, Biden said. Were going to pass the equality act, were going to restore anti-discrimination policies. Were going to protect our youth from hate crimes, conversion therapy and bullying.
Much of Bidens remarks also focused on President Donald Trumps Thursday arrival in Des Moines. Hell hold a rally at Drake University during the evening.
With less than a week until caucus night, the former Second Lady hosted an LGBTQ happy hour at the Blazing Saddle in the East Village, noting her husbands policies to further push equality and the strength of LGBTQ community members. She arrived in the state Wednesday to campaign for her husband, expected to hit events through Friday across the state.
Progress has happened because you fought to make it happen. By living your truth every day, you are making it happen. But the fight is not over, Biden said. Were going to pass the equality act, were going to restore anti-discrimination policies. Were going to protect our youth from hate crimes, conversion therapy and bullying.
Much of Bidens remarks also focused on President Donald Trumps Thursday arrival in Des Moines. Hell hold a rally at Drake University during the evening.
January 30, 2020
D.C. Mayor Muriel Bowser to endorse Mike Bloomberg for president
Washington PostD.C. Mayor Muriel E. Bowser is to endorse Democratic presidential candidate Mike Bloomberg during a joint appearance Thursday afternoon in the District, according to the Bloomberg campaign.
Bloomberg, New Yorks former three-term mayor, is to deliver a speech outlining his plan to create affordable housing and ease the homeless crisis that is posing challenges for large cities across the country, including the nations capital.
Bowser is scheduled to appear with Bloomberg when he speaks at the Atlas Performing Arts Center on H Street NE, a gentrifying corridor that illustrates the challenges cities face in balancing economic development and the needs of the poor.
The second-term mayor is choosing the billionaire businessman from a crowded field of candidates that includes former vice president Joe Biden, who worked closely with the District during the Obama administration and whom she has praised in the past.
Bloomberg, New Yorks former three-term mayor, is to deliver a speech outlining his plan to create affordable housing and ease the homeless crisis that is posing challenges for large cities across the country, including the nations capital.
Bowser is scheduled to appear with Bloomberg when he speaks at the Atlas Performing Arts Center on H Street NE, a gentrifying corridor that illustrates the challenges cities face in balancing economic development and the needs of the poor.
The second-term mayor is choosing the billionaire businessman from a crowded field of candidates that includes former vice president Joe Biden, who worked closely with the District during the Obama administration and whom she has praised in the past.
January 30, 2020
Why Bernie Sanders Loves the F-35 Stealth Fighter
National Interest
In an unusual turn, this has pitted anti-F-35 activists in opposition to both of Vermonts left-leaning senators, independent Bernie Sanders and Democrat Patrick Leahy, who have supported the F-35s deployment in Burlington. For example, this September 6, activists planned a Weekend at Bernie's rally at Leahy and Sanders Burlington offices opposing the F-35s imminent arrival.
Supporters of the anti-F-35 campaign Save our Skies have included retired Air Force colonel Rosanne Greco who was formerly involved nuclear arms negotiations; Pierre Sprey, an influential weapons analyst in the 1970s and a longtime F-35 critic; and Ben Cohen of Ben & Jerrys ice cream company who has provided financing.
South Burlingtonians living near the airport were already reportedly unhappy with the noise produced by the now-retired F-16s. In response, the airport actively purchased and razed over 200 adjacent homes to reduce the affected population. Opponents to F-35 basing particularly cite studies showing that children growing up near noisy airports tend to suffer adverse health and educational attainment outcomes.
In 2013, the National Guard also released an Environmental Impact Statement that asserted that the additional noise impact would be minimal. However, locals have questioned the assessment model.
It was eventually revealed that Burlington was the least well-rated of four sites evaluated by the Environmental Impact Statement, and its selection may have been pushed specifically by Senator Leahy. Furthermore, leaked emails revealed the National Guard had developed a new noise model (Karnes 3) over the objections of the Air Force with the intention of favorably tweaking the noise assessment.
In an unusual turn, this has pitted anti-F-35 activists in opposition to both of Vermonts left-leaning senators, independent Bernie Sanders and Democrat Patrick Leahy, who have supported the F-35s deployment in Burlington. For example, this September 6, activists planned a Weekend at Bernie's rally at Leahy and Sanders Burlington offices opposing the F-35s imminent arrival.
Supporters of the anti-F-35 campaign Save our Skies have included retired Air Force colonel Rosanne Greco who was formerly involved nuclear arms negotiations; Pierre Sprey, an influential weapons analyst in the 1970s and a longtime F-35 critic; and Ben Cohen of Ben & Jerrys ice cream company who has provided financing.
South Burlingtonians living near the airport were already reportedly unhappy with the noise produced by the now-retired F-16s. In response, the airport actively purchased and razed over 200 adjacent homes to reduce the affected population. Opponents to F-35 basing particularly cite studies showing that children growing up near noisy airports tend to suffer adverse health and educational attainment outcomes.
In 2013, the National Guard also released an Environmental Impact Statement that asserted that the additional noise impact would be minimal. However, locals have questioned the assessment model.
It was eventually revealed that Burlington was the least well-rated of four sites evaluated by the Environmental Impact Statement, and its selection may have been pushed specifically by Senator Leahy. Furthermore, leaked emails revealed the National Guard had developed a new noise model (Karnes 3) over the objections of the Air Force with the intention of favorably tweaking the noise assessment.
Bloomberg
F-35s List of Flaws Includes a Gun That Cant Shoot Straight
Add a gun that cant shoot straight to the problems that dog Lockheed Martin Corp.s $428 billion F-35 program, including more than 800 software flaws.
The 25mm gun on Air Force models of the Joint Strike Fighter has unacceptable accuracy in hitting ground targets and is mounted in housing thats cracking, the Pentagons test office said in its latest assessment of the costliest U.S. weapons system.
The annual assessment by Robert Behler, the Defense Departments director of operational test and evaluation, doesnt disclose any major new failings in the planes flying capabilities. But it flags a long list of issues that his office said should be resolved -- including 13 described as Category 1 must-fix items that affect safety or combat capability -- before the F-35s upcoming $22 billion Block 4 phase.
The number of software deficiencies totaled 873 as of November, according to the report obtained by Bloomberg News in advance of its release as soon as Friday. Thats down from 917 in September 2018, when the jet entered the intense combat testing required before full production, including 15 Category 1 items. What was to be a year of testing has now been extended another year until at least October.
F-35s List of Flaws Includes a Gun That Cant Shoot Straight
Add a gun that cant shoot straight to the problems that dog Lockheed Martin Corp.s $428 billion F-35 program, including more than 800 software flaws.
The 25mm gun on Air Force models of the Joint Strike Fighter has unacceptable accuracy in hitting ground targets and is mounted in housing thats cracking, the Pentagons test office said in its latest assessment of the costliest U.S. weapons system.
The annual assessment by Robert Behler, the Defense Departments director of operational test and evaluation, doesnt disclose any major new failings in the planes flying capabilities. But it flags a long list of issues that his office said should be resolved -- including 13 described as Category 1 must-fix items that affect safety or combat capability -- before the F-35s upcoming $22 billion Block 4 phase.
The number of software deficiencies totaled 873 as of November, according to the report obtained by Bloomberg News in advance of its release as soon as Friday. Thats down from 917 in September 2018, when the jet entered the intense combat testing required before full production, including 15 Category 1 items. What was to be a year of testing has now been extended another year until at least October.
January 30, 2020
John Heilmann ("The Circus"): Buttigieg events in Iowa better attended...
...and more energy than Biden events. Buttigieg better organized on the ground. Biden voters (older) are more reliable, but a larger turnout may indicate Pete os bringing new people in.
Profile Information
Name: Chris BastianGender: Male
Hometown: Brooklyn, NY
Home country: USA
Member since: 2002
Number of posts: 94,727