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brooklynite's Journal
brooklynite's Journal
October 16, 2019

A personal observation about Biden's fundraising...

In 2016, the big dollar donors that I engage with maxed out to Clinton on the day she announced, as did my wife and I. This time, most of them have left their wallets closed (other than some marginal contributions to help candidates get on the debate stage) waiting for the field to clear out. None of my friends have hosted a Biden event or invited me to one. What that says though, is that Biden is not seen as the "obvious" establishment choice.

Biden is focusing his fundraising on high dollar donors while focusing on traditional bulking up on paid staffers. The problem is that he's drawing from a small pool of high dollar donors, which are likely already maxed out at this point.If he can't show more success in polling, or small dollar fundraising, he may be in serious trouble going in to the new year.

October 16, 2019

Wayne Messam raised $5 this quarter for presidential run (no, that's not a typo)

The Hill

Miramar, Fla., Mayor Wayne Messam (D) raised $5 for his presidential run and spent $0 in the third quarter of the year, according to Federal Election Committee (FEC) disclosures.

The filing also states Messam’s campaign had $31,146.44 in cash on hand the beginning of the reporting period.

Messam previously raised $43,531 in the first quarter of 2019, putting him in last place among the crowded field of declared Democratic presidential candidates. He formally launched his campaign on March 30.

Earlier FEC filings indicate that Messam’s campaign raised $50,281 in the second quarter of 2019 and spent $60,965 in the same quarter, with about two thirds of the contributions — $33,935 — coming from large-dollar donations of over $200 and the remainder — $16,346 — coming from small-dollar donors, with no self-funding or PAC donations.

October 16, 2019

Candidate Cash on Hand (as of September 30)

Bernie Sanders $33.7
Elizabeth Warren 25.7
Pete Buttigieg 23.4
Kamala Harris 10.5
Joseph R. Biden Jr. 9.0
Andrew Yang 6.4
Cory Booker 4.2
Amy Klobuchar 3.7
Beto O’Rourke 3.3
Tom Steyer 2.6
Tulsi Gabbard 2.1
Michael Bennet 1.9
Steve Bullock 1.4
Marianne Williamson 0.7
Julián Castro 0.7
John Delaney 0.5
Joe Sestak 0.2
Tim Ryan 0.2

October 16, 2019

Democrats Should Remember How Obama Won Ohio

New York Times

Democrats are arguing over whether the key to winning the presidential contest next year will be moving to the left to energize our base or to the right to persuade those Obama-Trump voters. This is a false choice. What matters is making voters feel heard and respected — not overpromising or compromising on our values.

Democrats like Mr. Obama and Senator Sherrod Brown have been successful in Ohio not because voters agree with them on everything, but because they made voters feel that they were on their side. The key to success in Ohio — and in communities across the Midwest that feel overlooked and left behind — is empathetic leadership that is honest about the struggles we face.

As Democratic presidential candidates gather in Westerville, Ohio, on Tuesday for a primary debate, I hope they will take the time to learn from places like my city. We have a lot to teach Democrats and the country after our recent months of seeing critical national issues play out locally.

I hope that rather than look at Ohio and the entire industrial Midwest as some relic of the past, the candidates will see the immense opportunity for innovation and change in the face of struggle.

Nan Whaley is the mayor of Dayton, Ohio.

October 16, 2019

Ex-Aide Saw Gordon Sondland as a Potential National Security Risk

Source: New York Times

WASHINGTON — A former top White House foreign policy adviser told House impeachment investigators this week that she viewed Gordon D. Sondland, the United States ambassador to the European Union, as a potential national security risk because he was so unprepared for his job, according to two people familiar with her private testimony.

The adviser, Fiona Hill, did not accuse Mr. Sondland of acting maliciously or intentionally putting the country at risk. But she described Mr. Sondland, a hotelier and Trump donor-turned-ambassador, as metaphorically driving in an unfamiliar place with no guardrails and no GPS, according to the people, who were not authorized to publicly discuss a deposition that took place behind closed doors.

Ms. Hill, the former senior director for European and Russian affairs at the White House, also said that she raised her concerns with intelligence officials inside the White House, one of the people said.

Mr. Sondland’s lawyer declined to comment.

Read more: https://www.nytimes.com/2019/10/16/us/politics/gordon-sondland-intelligence-risk.html

October 16, 2019

When was the last time you paid more than you had to for airline tickets?

Several threads are going around about Warren being unwilling to say that taxes would go up to support MfA, and saying that Democrats should endorse a tax rise while pointing out that total out of pocket costs would go down. Let me offer an analogy to explain why this won't work.

Older travelers will fondly recall the "golden age of air travel" with spacious seating (including lounges), free meals and drinks and generous luggage allowances. What they tend to forget is that ticket prices (regulated by the Government) were substantially higher than they are today.

When airlines were deregulated prices became market based and dropped significantly. Airlines then compensated by squeezing in more passengers, charging $25-50 for each piece of luggage, and introducing buy on board food. Whenever an airline attempted to charge more for more services (setting aside First Class and Business Class) the plan inevitable failed, because the only thing passengers responded to was the ticket cost. They never calculated the total trip costs (luggage, seat choice, food and drinks) to see what the difference would be.

That's the situation we are in with MfA. People respond to tax rates, partly because it's tangible (you fill lout a form and see the numbers). The notion that a tax increase would result in lower non-tax expenses doesn't work. First, many people don't trust the competence of the Government to implement a plan (reminder: the people you're trying to win over aren't currently in Medicare, so they don't have an opinion as to how it works). Second, the elimination of employer-funded insurance plans doesn't automatically result in an income transfer to the employee, so there's no assurance that their income will go up. Third, the assumption that MfA is a truly single-payer program that covers ALL doctor visits is not proven (Co-pays serve as a friction charge to prevent frivilous visits).

October 16, 2019

Trump Is Winning the Online War

New York Times

For all his negative poll numbers and impeachment-related liabilities, President Trump has a decisive advantage on one key election battleground: the digital campaign.

Under the management of Brad Parscale, the Trump re-election machine has devoted millions more than any individual Democrat to increasingly sophisticated microtargeting techniques.

The accompanying chart, compiled by the Wesleyan Media Project, describes the partisan gulf in political spending, through September 19, on Facebook and Google by leading presidential candidates: Trump’s $15.9 million is more than the $15.5 million spent by the top three Democratic candidates combined.

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Name: Chris Bastian
Gender: Male
Hometown: Brooklyn, NY
Home country: USA
Member since: 2002
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