Fl. senate; Murphy is in striking distance of Rubio

Huff Post: Murphy - 43%, Rubio - 48%. This is despite the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee pulling the plug on Murphy. Obama has been doing his part on behalf of Murphy with some very good TV ads, but the DSCC canceled $16,000,000 in advertising for Murphy. If Murphy loses by less than 5 points the DSCC will have egg on their face.

Help me understand 538.com

As I write this, 538 has Hillary at 291 EV, Trump at 246 EV, and McMullin at .7 EV. There is no such thing as a partial EV. Furthermore 538's current map has Hillary at 273 EV, Trump at 265.


Anyway I'm feeling a lot more confident than I was 72 hours ago.

538.com has Hillary down in Fl. by almost 4 points

I am very worried about Fl. I live in Broward County, the most democratic county in the state. I see more pro Trump bumper stickers, lawn signs, and people waving signs on street corners then I do for Hillary. Of course this is my own subjective impression, and it could be that Trump supporters just make more noise then sane people.

I don't have much hope for NC because of all the voter suppression. So it all comes down to NV and NH. NH is Bernie's backyard, I hope he spends the next 3 days there.

Does anyone know what's happening in NH?

I thought Hillary had a lock on 272 electoral votes. but according to the Huff Post NH is suddenly in play. I thought only NV, FL, and NC are up for grabs. I don't have much hope for NC because of all the voter suppression. And with NV and FL to close to call, NH is critical.



http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/2016-new-hampshire-president-trump-vs-clinton

Huff Post: Black Voter Turnout So Far Is Not Good For Hillary Clinton"

"North Carolina is seeing fewer black voters casting their ballots early this year, The New York Times reports. They accounted for just 22 percent of early voters as of Monday, compared to 27.3 percent of early voters in 2012.....In North Carolina, Republican lawmakers and officials have engaged in a concerted effort to reduce turnout among African-Americans.....In Florida, black voter turnout is down from 25 percent at this point in 2012 to 16 percent now. However, Latino turnout is up ― as of Monday morning, it was already at 97 percent of the 2012 early voting total ― and more than 60 percent of that group is expected to vote for Clinton."