BornADemocrat
BornADemocrat's JournalSigns removed
I was all set to reflexively flip the bird at a Trump house I drive by regularly. To my surprise, the 2 DJT signs had been removed from the lawn, yet 3 other signs were replanted in an orderly fashion.
I'm hoping this bodes well for tonight.
HuffPost Forecasts Hillary Clinton Will Win With 323 Electoral Votes
Democrats stand a strong chance of taking control of the Senate as well.
11/07/2016 06:51 pm ET
The HuffPost presidential forecast model gives Democrat Hillary Clinton a 98.2 percent chance of winning the presidency. Republican Donald Trump has essentially no path to an Electoral College victory.
Clintons win will be substantial, but not overwhelming. The model projects that shell garner 323 electoral votes to Trumps 215.
...
Florida, Nevada and North Carolina have leaned toward Clinton in the polling averages. The forecast in recent weeks, along with the strength of early voting numbers, makes it seem very likely that these will stay with her. All three states are more than 80-percent likely to swing Democratic. New Hampshire polls have wavered recently, but the HuffPost model still predicts those four electoral votes will go to Clinton with more than 90 percent certainty. And Clinton should fairly easily hold onto Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania.
That leaves Ohio as the last critical state. Its the closest in the race, according to the HuffPost forecast model. Trump leads by just 1 point, and the polling trend has moved toward the GOP in the last few weeks. The HuffPost model gives Trump about a 70 percent chance of winning the state. In the event that Clintons ground game stimulates turnout and pulls Ohio in her direction ― which is not out of the question ― shell get 341 electoral votes.
...
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/polls-hillary-clinton-win_us_5821074ce4b0e80b02cc2a94
Breitbart (Gravis) polls not favoring Trump - ooops
538 now-cast - I like it's coloring ;)
Final Economist/YouGov Poll (Nov 4-7) Hillary +4
+1 improvement over their previous poll
https://today.yougov.com/news/2016/11/07/final-economistyougov-poll-shows-clinton-4-point-n/
**Final** Post-ABC Tracking Poll: Clinton 47 - 43
Clintons edge in the Post-ABC poll does not reach statistical significance given the polls 2.5 percentage-point margin in sampling error around each candidates support, although a lead of this size would be a comfortable margin on Election Day. The 47 to 43 percent margin is identical to her edge in the previous four-day wave as well as a mid-October Post-ABC poll. Her margin is also the same size as Barack Obamas winning margin against Mitt Romney in 2012, 51 to 47 percent. The final Post-ABC Tracking Poll that year found Obama at 50 percent and Romney at 47 percent.
...
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2016/11/07/post-abc-tracking-poll-clinton-47-trump-43-on-election-eve/
Wingnut pollster, Trafalgar Group, tries to tilt Florida
Nate bags 'em (this is poll-plus forecast)
You have to look at their cross-tabs. 26% of blacks voting for Trump, 41% of Hispanics.
https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B4lhKxf9pMitUTc5eVFiWERJRFE/view
Sleazy Rasmussen tries to save reputation - puts out final poll showing Clinton +2 Nationally
They are so predictable.
Of note, however...
"Among those who say they have already voted, Clinton leads 53% to 37%. Johnson earns three percent (3%) and Stein one percent (1%). "
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2016/white_house_watch_nov7
I just saw a DJT sign that had "grab the pussy" on it
Survey Monkey Oct31-Nov6: NH +11, NC +8, CO +4, NV +1, WI +1, FL +2, PA +5, VA +10, AZ +2, MI +2
MN +10, OH -3, GA -1, SC -2 - rest at link.
https://www.surveymonkey.com/elections/map?poll=sm-lv-cpsplus
All of these are the same on an improvement for Hillary over the previous SM polls, so this is a good trend.
Profile Information
Member since: Sun Apr 26, 2015, 11:58 PMNumber of posts: 8,168